100% agree. Is it possible that we wake up Saturday morning and go "well ****", absolutely. But right now there doesn't seem to be that potential lining up.
You can see the back door cold front edging into Delmarva. Delaware and Maryland mesonets showing a quick shift to ENE winds and temps falling into the upper 40s.
It will be interesting to see what happens on a clear, calm night with dry air. I suspect the Parkton and Clarksville sites will both be the radiational cooling king and queen of the network.
Pretty incredible temperatures this morning, might be due to an inversion? Clarskville bottomed out at 25 degrees, but Westminster only got down to 40.
@IronTy I'll remember to bump troll you come July.
We really need a steady, soaking 48 hours of light rain soon or we're going to really run the risk of some decent mountains and field fires.
I fall for this all the time too. Rich Thompson from SPC hammers this in his lecture that convection from maturing or mature systems will often persist longer than what the CAMS illustrate. We saw this during both April 2011 severe weather outbreaks where tornadoes occurred from Alabama up into Pennsylvania.