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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Casual ~3,000 square mile polygon.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Rather pronounced gust front from essentially the PA/MD line down to Middleburg, VA. Wonder if this ignites a fresh line or signals the end of the northern section of the storms?
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Yea those two terminals laughed in my face. Looks like they took off in the late afternoon.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    DCA had a high of 99°, BWI topped out at 96°.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    That cell approaching Garrett County looks legit. Little notch and everything else to it.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Watch box coming out from DC north.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Yea I'm not confident this survives into the metros either.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Pretty incredible storms near Pittsburgh. Radar showing 60-65kt winds about 1,000 foot off the surface just north of the city.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like they lost power in the terminal.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Very impressive velocity signatures across Allegheny County. 911 centers probably pretty busy right now. That second line coming through Ohio is getting beefier.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Impressive downburst signature approaching the City of Pittsburgh. Radar showing between 47 - 60 kts between 700-2,500 ft. AGL near the radar site.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Some impressive wind signatures on those storms near Pittsburgh. Wouldn't surprise me to see a 70 mph reading or two.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    If they maintain mostly sunny and that good wind direction they could get an upper 90 reading here soon.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the rain yesterday has boosted surface dews a bit. Helps to offset the fact that air temperatures aren't climbing really into the 90s.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Finally feels like summer.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    LI's of -9, solid low level lapse rates, and healthy CAPE. If only we had 30-40 kts of shear, we'd be cooking.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Classic summer morning smells.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Probably why the 30% wind was added.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    SPC mesonalayis is pretty loaded at 10:30 am for us. Incredible surface CAPE, stouts LI's, and decent low level lapse rates. Only thing lacking is shear. If something fires up today it'll have a solid airmass to work with. Hmm...even some decent mid level lapse rates west of I-81. I wonder if we have a bit a remnant EML trying to crest the mountains?
  20. Eskimo Joe
    M0.82" yesterday. Absolutely poured for an hour. 2" PWATs baby.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    The June 5, 2024 tornado outbreak comes to mind. Arguably one of the greatest forecasting snafus east of the Mississippi River in the history of NWS.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    30% is the new "SEE TEXT" Edit: this post is sarcasm
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Remember when 30% got you an ENH? Pepperidge Farm remembers.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Outflow boundary evident on radar near Frederick. Looks like the storms lost the terrain boost that was keeping their updrafts going. Should see some more stuff fire up ahead of the main line here shortly?
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Amazing to watch the soils just absorb the rainfall.
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