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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. 100% agree. Is it possible that we wake up Saturday morning and go "well ****", absolutely. But right now there doesn't seem to be that potential lining up.
  2. The two April 2011 outbreaks were generational events. Currently, there is no evidence to suggest that we get into that type of outbreak.
  3. Pre-frontal winds Sunday might be more impressive than the storms.
  4. I really wish I could find a "Drag Me To Storm" t-shirt that helicity designs came out with a few years ago.
  5. You can see the back door cold front edging into Delmarva. Delaware and Maryland mesonets showing a quick shift to ENE winds and temps falling into the upper 40s.
  6. It will be interesting to see what happens on a clear, calm night with dry air. I suspect the Parkton and Clarksville sites will both be the radiational cooling king and queen of the network.
  7. Funny you should mention that. . .
  8. @mappy, @wxmeddler and I did a thing.
  9. Grade is C for me. Best of the past couple of years, but two big models busts in Feb for snow stung.
  10. Pretty incredible temperatures this morning, might be due to an inversion? Clarskville bottomed out at 25 degrees, but Westminster only got down to 40.
  11. @IronTy I'll remember to bump troll you come July. We really need a steady, soaking 48 hours of light rain soon or we're going to really run the risk of some decent mountains and field fires.
  12. That seems to be how our winters are these days. Things just turn on and then turn off.
  13. Yea looks like after tomorrow, we start the warming trend.
  14. Never underestimate synoptic winds. If it were sunny today, we'd mix more effectively and probably get some legit gusts.
  15. Perfect weather for installing flood sensors and mesonet stations.
  16. I fall for this all the time too. Rich Thompson from SPC hammers this in his lecture that convection from maturing or mature systems will often persist longer than what the CAMS illustrate. We saw this during both April 2011 severe weather outbreaks where tornadoes occurred from Alabama up into Pennsylvania.
  17. Seems like the temperature inversion was mixed out. Winds now getting to the surface.
  18. Wind shift to SW at College Park and Upper Marlboro mesonet sites. Looks like the line is racing eastward.
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