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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Probably why the 30% wind was added.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    SPC mesonalayis is pretty loaded at 10:30 am for us. Incredible surface CAPE, stouts LI's, and decent low level lapse rates. Only thing lacking is shear. If something fires up today it'll have a solid airmass to work with. Hmm...even some decent mid level lapse rates west of I-81. I wonder if we have a bit a remnant EML trying to crest the mountains?
  3. Eskimo Joe
    M0.82" yesterday. Absolutely poured for an hour. 2" PWATs baby.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    The June 5, 2024 tornado outbreak comes to mind. Arguably one of the greatest forecasting snafus east of the Mississippi River in the history of NWS.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    30% is the new "SEE TEXT" Edit: this post is sarcasm
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Remember when 30% got you an ENH? Pepperidge Farm remembers.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Outflow boundary evident on radar near Frederick. Looks like the storms lost the terrain boost that was keeping their updrafts going. Should see some more stuff fire up ahead of the main line here shortly?
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Amazing to watch the soils just absorb the rainfall.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    They can and often do act as a forcing mechanism. More lift!
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Per the latest SPC mesonanalysis, there appears to be a bit of a lee trough running from CHO up to Harrisburg.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Clarksville mesonet site had a dewpoint of 76. Impressive.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Sligo Creek, I'm looking at you.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Saw that. Looks like some summer showers and storms. Would be very beneficial.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Nice little swirl over West Virginia. If we can get enough sunshine today, we might get some decent storms south of I-70. Might be a DC to EZF special.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Got a graphic?
  16. Eskimo Joe
    SPC introduces Slight Risk for Thur and Fri. Personally I'd favor Friday for more widespread convection.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    It was intentional. PS...shameless content plug but @wxmeddler and I are always available for an article on the mesonet if you're looking for local.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Hai @Ian
  19. Eskimo Joe
    I would favor Friday for more organized severe weather. Thursday gives the all hat no cattle impression.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    12z NAM really bakes the Carolinas and even south of RIC on Friday. Several locations make a run at 100°.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Yinzer Alley™ go brrr
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Doesn't appear to be a very hot summer on tap.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Co-sign. Would favor the higher elevations along and west of I-81 where updrafts can get a boost from the terrain, or neat the bay where a bay breeze front can boost some forcing.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Ji's already looking at 2027-2028.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Southern Maryland and lower Delmarva have been quite moisture starved for some time. I was coming back from a conference in Ocean City the other week and the soybeans were looking quite ragged. Even the corn was struggling.
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