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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    While the watch is justified, this is just going to be a lucky spot or two that jackpots. It was looking much better for wider rainfall a few days ago. LWX even mentions this in the afternoon discussion about how the system has trended a bit more progressive in the past 24 hours in the guidance.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    The flood potential really went in the toilet over the past couple of runs too. Pretty sad overall.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Not really. We're just on the outside looking in...as usual.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Interesting snippet from the afternoon SWODY3: Really hope we can manage some sunshine on Friday because the flood threat is looking more meager than yesterday. To waste 2 good events in under a week would really be a dagger through the heart.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    The track of the main low and dynamics would lead to a 'meh' to 'okay' setup. We'd need to see a few hours of at least partly sunny skies to realize the better potential.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Friday screams flooding to me. Could be an interesting day.
  7. Eskimo Joe
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  9. Eskimo Joe
  10. Eskimo Joe
    I'd side with the 3k nam. HRRR is.....a thing.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Yup...winds picking up here ahead of it in Baltimore. Feels great outside.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Several reports 70+. Impressive.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0355.html
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Just not enough instability to get the rotations to stick. It's <800j/kg regionwide. Probably the only thing preventing a boom scenario.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Storm along frederick/moco boundary and in Loudoun County trying to go spinny?
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Meso for heavy rain potential: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=126&yr=2019
  17. Eskimo Joe
    For the 2nd batch tonight, you need to look towards SW VA or S-Central WV. If that line goes boom and you start seeing a ton of reports coming out of it then we're set for an interesting night.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    That's my cell to watch. If there's one that could overperform...it's that or the chesterfield storm.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Everything in this initial batch is game for a spinny. Line to our west looks really linear, more QLCS / straight line wind threat. just stepped outside my house and it's got that nice humid feel.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Looks legit to me.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    TOR for Frederick and Carroll now.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    SVR for Frederick / Carroll MD for possible TOR / wind.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    they're issuing for a 2nd possible tornado
  24. Eskimo Joe
    TOR for Nelson VA coming out.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Man if only we had like 3 good hours of sun today.
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