The little blob in North Potomac getting that kidney bean shape as well. Bit is a signature trying to pop on the SRM 0.5° angle too. Looks pretty good on the TBWI/TIAD as well.
If this were a snowstorm this would crash the board. Expecting over 18" of snow to realize the day before you'll be lucky to verify a warning level event.
00z Euro gets the low through Pittsburgh around 989mb...with +20 temp anomaly at 850 [thanks to a jet of nearly 65 kts]. It also significantly backed off on the rainfall (shocker) only about 2" regionwide.
The "we are due" index is pretty high in several areas specifically:
1.) Derecho
2.) Tropical system/remnants
3.) EF-2 or greater tornado
4.) Large scale river flooding event
Sooner or later the pendelum is going to swing back on us.
12" - 16" of pancake batter followed by 2" to 3" of ZR then a 3 day deep freeze. The icing on the cake would be the event popping up under 12-24 hours.