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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Just to our north and within the hour: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0881.html
  2. The 12z RAOB from IAD indicated a convective temp of 89°, which most areas are nearing. The 18z special RAOB should be publicly available around 2:30 pm...going to be interesting to see what it tells.
  3. Nothing will beat the tornadoes from Ivan. That's the benchmark for tornadoes in these parts.
  4. I don't think today is a tornado day. It's a wind/hail day.
  5. We have some decent mid level lapse rates to our west. That's good to see. More sustained updrafts and DCAPE is pushing up as well. I'm still in for today, but I know the best action is probably more Baltimore than DC.
  6. Yea that thing went bonkers. It's a sick looking hail signature.
  7. Yea tomorrow is probably our best shot for anything organized this week.
  8. I'm in for now. Going to wait until late tomorrow morning before going all in or not.
  9. I'm in for a big cell or two and that's it, but if you get under one good luck. Going to be a few happy campers and many people left out.
  10. Doubt it. They usually tweet about it, haven't seen anything on their social media.
  11. $20 says they red box to the Potomac River. We are PRIMED if something can fire on its own down here.
  12. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=305&yr=2019
  13. Well the watch definitely verified. Already over half a dozen wind reports already.
  14. Blue Box until 05:00 UTC EDIT: link: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0258.html
  15. There are a ton of large outdoor activities ongoing this weekend across the area, Rolling Thunder for example. A big push in the weather and public safety enterprises has been to be aware of mass outdoor gatherings and improve weather communication to the public and coordination agencies. Probably the reason for the 3 MCDs and the 2 SPSs. Not a bad thing though because someone will undoubtedly say "tHeRe WaS nO wArNiNg".
  16. Yea just saw that. Boundaries like that can compensate for the loss of daytime heating.
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