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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Yup. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md0324.html Baltimore and points NE are primed.
  2. A lot of the states are not going to be able to handle this. Between the logistics coordination for PPE, surge and this political hand grenade that was dumped in our lap, it's a tenuous time. There is an unusual amount of discord and lack of support from the Feds this go around and it's significantly complicating things on the state and local level.
  3. The Feds are ending Federal funding for testing this Friday unless something changes. Can't have a pandemic if you can't test for it!
  4. Almost every lab is backed up and many are low on the reagents necessary to run the tests. Our output is a trickle nationally of what's coming in, especially in the DC to Providence corridor.
  5. Yup. I've learned to always bet on a fail and be happy with anything you get.
  6. Strengthening or mature sub 1000 mb lows running CLE -> BUF don't go quietly into the night here. If this continues, especially with the little secondary low running close to us, we could certinaly get a sneaky event with a big storm or two embedded.
  7. Gotta watch those. Sneaky secondary max that can surprise a few areas real quick.
  8. DMV was under multiple tornado watches for almost 20 consecutive hours. What an event that was.
  9. I hope I'm wrong, but everyone was saying how things would change after 9/11, Katrina, the 2011 tsunami, Northridge earthquake and here we are today.
  10. You'll have to excuse me with the overly pessimistic posts. My viewpoint is framed through my experience of looking at events that occur with a regular frequency (hurricanes, cyber, public health, etc.) and reading the after action reports. In this country, we consistently fail to adapt and the same 5 or 6 pitfalls catch us every time, yet we act like it's a shocker both within the public safety realm and outside it, when this happens. Our country could be vastly more efficient and resilient to disasters if we embraced a more scientific, long term view of how to adapt to a changing world. Instead we focus so much on short term gain and response in this country. Pandemics are one of the few purely human caused and solved disasters in this world which puts our failures or successes squared on our shoulders.
  11. IMO, until there is broader acceptance of mitigation efforts such as sick leave for employees, regardless of the size of a company, and sustained funding of public health efforts like biosurveillance and rapid testing, this will continue.
  12. I'm not sure the economic folks are going to allow that in the future. There's been an incredible push back from the business community about this and the field I work in juggles this with every event. Some of the push back is from sectors of the economy that cannot or choose not to adjust to a modified service delivery model. It dumbfounds me to see employers belly ache they cannot either give some medical leave to sick employees or shift to online or slightly distanced delivery of goods to the customer. Other employers, like HEB grocery, adjusted to this event overnight and have continued their front facing operations without much negative impact.
  13. I really doubt it. Once the first football game kicks off this autumn everyone will forget this even happened. We won't learn from anything in this country and when the next pandemic happens in another decade or so, we'll be back at square one.
  14. LWX issued SVR #32 at 4:22 am to 5:00 am and this occurred around 4:35 am based off radar.
  15. Ohio and Maryland were the most aggressive states with physical distancing and other societal measures to slow community transmission. It's no surprise that we're going to emerge stronger than most of the US.
  16. The temperature inversion acts to dampen sound and is more common during nocturnal convection.
  17. Sounds like elevated convection. You see all the lightning but don't hear the thunder. It's like sitting on the bottom of a pool and looking up and everything moving but not hearing the sound.
  18. 40% chance of a WW: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md0294.html
  19. CAMS FTW...looks like that cluster near Haymarket may get warned here shortly. Nice velocities on the 0.5° BV.
  20. Collards are almost ready for eating, shallots and garlic coming along nicely. Radishes and beets going in Saturday. Pepper, beans, squash and tomatoes are all started.
  21. If it's tracked right, MD will get ~75% of the COVID19 expenditures back from the Major Disaster Declaration but that's a ways off.
  22. Part of me was hoping for an 18z RAOB out of IAD or PITT given the setup for potentially large hailers, but that doesn't appear to be the case.
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