If it's one thing I've learned over the past decade, it's that you really need the Pacific on your side to have a shot. Otherwise it's all about pinpoint timing.
-3 to -5 will get you TV Snow at least west of I-95.
Westminster mesonet station down to 32°. Solar data now less than 50 watts/m^2. Clear Spring site about to dip below freezing as well. If the precip can sustain itself another few hours the northern folks might cash in.