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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Healthy little tornado warned cell in far SW VA.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Agreed. Gotta push temps above the 73 to 75 degree range.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Really hope we can manage some sun. Satellite is not promising though.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
While the watch is justified, this is just going to be a lucky spot or two that jackpots. It was looking much better for wider rainfall a few days ago. LWX even mentions this in the afternoon discussion about how the system has trended a bit more progressive in the past 24 hours in the guidance.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The flood potential really went in the toilet over the past couple of runs too. Pretty sad overall.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not really. We're just on the outside looking in...as usual.- 2,802 replies
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https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Virginia-02-24-0-100-1&checked=counties-map&colorbar=undefined
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Interesting snippet from the afternoon SWODY3: Really hope we can manage some sunshine on Friday because the flood threat is looking more meager than yesterday. To waste 2 good events in under a week would really be a dagger through the heart.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The track of the main low and dynamics would lead to a 'meh' to 'okay' setup. We'd need to see a few hours of at least partly sunny skies to realize the better potential.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Friday screams flooding to me. Could be an interesting day.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
- 2,802 replies
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- severe
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
- 2,802 replies
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- severe
- thunderstorms
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'd side with the 3k nam. HRRR is.....a thing.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yup...winds picking up here ahead of it in Baltimore. Feels great outside.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Several reports 70+. Impressive.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0355.html- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just not enough instability to get the rotations to stick. It's <800j/kg regionwide. Probably the only thing preventing a boom scenario.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Storm along frederick/moco boundary and in Loudoun County trying to go spinny?- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Meso for heavy rain potential: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=126&yr=2019- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
For the 2nd batch tonight, you need to look towards SW VA or S-Central WV. If that line goes boom and you start seeing a ton of reports coming out of it then we're set for an interesting night.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
That's my cell to watch. If there's one that could overperform...it's that or the chesterfield storm.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Everything in this initial batch is game for a spinny. Line to our west looks really linear, more QLCS / straight line wind threat. just stepped outside my house and it's got that nice humid feel.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks legit to me.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
TOR for Frederick and Carroll now.- 2,802 replies
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