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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. 80% of a WW: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md1116.html
  2. Landmass boundaries are going to be the initiation mechanism for today.
  3. Without shear to move things along, it's going to be just pulsers with rogue wet microbursts.
  4. Shows up really well on LWX 0.5 degree velocity.
  5. Get topsoil imported and spread it out. Put some lime down to balance the pH and aerate/over seed this fall. Repeat the process next year as well.
  6. It's been awhile since all 3 terminals have hit 100° three days in a row.
  7. Weird thing going on. I have a self watering container on the deck with two eggplants. One plant has ants on itlaying eggs but they're not cutting it up or bothering it otherwise, the other plant isn't even being touched. Really weird stuff.
  8. My tomatoes and squash will love it.
  9. Watch this be the summer everyone struggles to hit 95°.
  10. ^Wonder what make and model that wx station is
  11. Yea when those two cells were maintaining updrafts in an area of limited instability, you knew that was going to be a sign someone was going to win.
  12. If you re-rack the radar data from yesterday, it all started with those two cells in Cumberland that rode an outflow boundary out of Frederick.
  13. Yea it definitely was a sneaky day. We get these events where it looks pretty benign and then you get a lone cell or three that would end up verifying a slight risk and a WW. Other times, it's a textbook setup and the entire subforum whiffs.
  14. ML Lapse rates are poop and the shear is really lacking. This is isolated wet microburst / flooding.
  15. Flash Flood Watch until 10 pm from Carroll west along the Mason-Dixon.
  16. 14 box in baltimore county for several vehicles in flood waters....Ruxton Rd at Circle Rd.
  17. Unusually deep, rolling thunder and a lot of rogue CG in Reisterstown. Our younger cat is growling like a chain saw.
  18. Sustained convection east of I-81 will probably be sparse through 4pm. Despite the ConvT being reached the shear is minimal so it's going to be hard to sustain the updrafts.
  19. 12z balloon from IAD has a Convective Temp of 87°
  20. Given strong insoltation and decent LL but weak ML lapse rates, there definitely is a wet microburst potential today.
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