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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Cue the old adages: ARW = Always Really Wet or Always Really Wild NMM = Not Much Moisture
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Foggy start in New Windsor...once I got on Marston Road. Felt more like mid September than May.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Tomorrow is shaping up to be a classic severe weather outbreak for PA and NY. You have robust surface heating combined with a dynamic front...terrain aided updrafts could produce some storms pushing classic supercells. I wouldn't be shocked to see a DY1 Moderate risk for parts of PA and NY tomorrow if things come together in the morning.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    I look at weather through the lens of my profession. If I'm interested in an event, it means I'll be working in the EOC. To get excited about something more than 30 to 48 hours out is foolhardy to me in my old age.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Indeed. The mid level lapse rates are key because it helps sustain the updrafts and therein overcomes the local features (terrain, subtle bay or sea breeze boundary). All of our big events had a strong EML and respectable mid level lapse rates or remnant tropical system (Isabel in 2003, Ivan in 2004).
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Saw a report and pics from Clear Spring, MD of 1.75" hail from that cell. This area can get big hailers when there's a good aid to the updraft. Interestingly enough, that was the same cell which got it's act together and dropped an EF-1 tornado in Lancaster County, PA (injuring 3 people).
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Looks pretty meh to me, but weather in general is less and less interesting to me with each passing season. We haven't had a good storm since the derecho.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    We busted because KFDR didn't go down.
  9. Eskimo Joe
  10. Eskimo Joe
    https://www.weather.gov/gsp/sails
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Lubbock NEXRAD now on SAILS_3...San Angelo NEXRAD now on SAILS_2
  12. Eskimo Joe
    TOR just issued for the Dickens, TX storm. Really tightening up now.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Storm just NW of Dicken, TX needs a TOR soon.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Meso for the TX panhandle: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0704.html
  15. Eskimo Joe
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Spotter reporting wall cloud on this cell.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Crosby County, TX storm starting to show signs of rotation.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Impressive warm front. Temp is in the upper 40s across the OK panhandle and in the mid 80s along the Red River. Gonna be a few beefy cells today.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    He's a troll from the MA forum. Too much radar interference in his posting.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the warm front is going to get hung up along I-40. Sweetwater, OK temp has fallen from 72 to 56 and winds backed to the NW gusting to 15.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    That disco is beautiful.
  23. Eskimo Joe
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Warned for baseball sized hail too, right? Probably riding the warm front itself.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Per OUN, the cap has all but eroded and initiation is expected shortly.
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