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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Automated machine learning BS. They got flamed, rightfully so, in the comments section.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    2 tornado warned storms in PA. Ruh roh.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    New event. Severe Thunderstorm Watch from 5/23/2019 9:20 PM to 5/24/2019 12:00 AM EDT for Carroll County, MD. https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=34202985
  4. Eskimo Joe
    I agree with Yoda. Could be a rogue boomer or two overnight and I favor the northern areas where there may be a remnant boundary or better instability.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    National Weather Service has confirmed an EF1 tornado touched down in the Columbia area of Howard County on Thursday at 15:34 hrs.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    @Kmlwxis right about June storms. The need to rapidly generate their own cold pool and benefit from a strong EML to push them over the terrain and prevent downsloping.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    The cell which moved from Winchester across northern Montgomery probably produced that. Cloud tops maxed out around 50kft which is a good size for this part of the country. 235k power outages in the DC area but that pales in comparison to the derecho where each county had about 240k in the dark for days.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Yea this was okay.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Wow I take back what I said earlier. Line is legit.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    New event. Severe Thunderstorm Warning from 5/23/2019 2:26 PM to 3:00 PM EDT for Montgomery County, MD. https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=34171840
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Surprised that little blob west of Winchester isnt warned.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Might salvage a good shelf cloud pic or two from this stuff.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    This line looks like crap
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Thanks
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Thanks. Might be some low topped gusty stuff with minimal lightning? Whats shear looking like?
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Am mobile, what the CAPE, lapse rates and supercell composite like in dc?
  17. Eskimo Joe
    New event. Severe Thunderstorm Watch from 5/23/2019 1:02 PM to 8:00 PM EDT for Montgomery County, MD, Carroll County, MD. More information.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    No you're just learning to be cautious.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    I mean, the setup is there but it's super conditional today on all the dominoes falling in symphony. I'm all but out on this, but there might he one or two rogue cells down this way where someone jackpots.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Yes, we need rain...too muc pollen in the air!
  21. Eskimo Joe
    It's not happening here today.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    The LWX forecast area averages 3 Enhanced Risks per year and 1 Moderate Risk per 3 years.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    You have to update your GR AE and GR Level 3 to the latest version. This is accomplished by going to www (dot) grlevelx (dot) com and then re-downloading the program. Your license key and settings should be saved. Gibson Ridge has a sizeable flaw, IMO, in that that their software programs do not have an option to download and install the latest updates. Hope this helps!
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Cue the old adages: ARW = Always Really Wet or Always Really Wild NMM = Not Much Moisture
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Foggy start in New Windsor...once I got on Marston Road. Felt more like mid September than May.
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