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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Lee surface low would make this legit MOD risk for tor/svr winds
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Welp....
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Yes he's extremely conservative.
  4. Eskimo Joe
  5. Eskimo Joe
  6. Eskimo Joe
    That's an entirely different event.
  7. Eskimo Joe
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Good trends if you want legit severe here tomorrow.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    06z HRRR had a UHI track from Dulles right to York, PA, another right over DC< and two more through Stafford and La Plata. Wow.
  10. Eskimo Joe
  11. Eskimo Joe
    SPC mentioning the potential for a long track tornado or two. Oh man.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    00z HRRR is legit. Several pre-frontal mini supercells then a solid squall line.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Yea for better or worse, if we go D2 MOD it's probably best to make a thread. We only average a mod risk once every couple of years.
  14. Eskimo Joe
  15. Eskimo Joe
    GFS, RAP, and NAM slow the front down a bit and push it through during peak heating now.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    That's for the Day 1 midday update when we're socked in with fog and still in the 40s.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Afternoon, IMO.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Yea were probably going to get a 2 MOD. Classic kiss of death.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Feb 7, 2020.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    We'll see. I would favor DC and points south for torandoes, maybe some rogue QLCS thingy in MD through Central PA.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    70 - 125 kt shear on a neutral to negatively tilted trough in March is a recipe for a decent event.
  22. Eskimo Joe
  23. Eskimo Joe
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Oh
  25. Eskimo Joe
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