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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Agreed. I was very skeptical of the Euro and GFS going for three days in the 100s. We've seen that fantasy mid range heat vanish before. Not this time!
  2. Several mesonet sites in the eastern shore and southern MD are running ahead of yesterday.
  3. Another day working outside. Definitely more tolerable than the past two days bit no breeze whatsoever.
  4. Looks like a decent chance they hit 100° for a third day in a row. Legit heat.
  5. 12z IAD has over 4,000 surfsce cape and over 1,500 dcape, but a convective temp of 100°. There's rocket fuel to tap if something can take off.
  6. Today's the day where some wicked storm fires up and we see a top to 45-50,000 ft.
  7. 45% wind today for the I-95 corridor and thus an enhanced wind risk. Impressive EML pushing into us. Someone is going to get a solid storm.
  8. Wow heads up Elizabeth, NJ! 78kts on Mt Holly radar!
  9. Large outflow boundary evident on Mt. Holly radar. Storms may be struggling to maintain updrsfts outside the higher terrain.
  10. Yea these cells ran through Carbon County and there's legit wind damage coming out of it. Now 75 kts on Mt. Holly radar near MPO.
  11. Looking at MD mesonet, AWOS/ASOS, and the reliably sited CWOP sites had made it clear the Chesapeake Bay added a few degrees to the humidity. It's always amusing to see some of the national mets look at our heat index and dewpoints in Maryland and go "no way".
  12. Mt. Holly radar indicating 65-75kt winds on those storms running through I-81 in PA. If they can manage to congeal into a line and get a cold pool behind them, watch out N NJ/NYC.
  13. Williamsport (IPT) tied it's record high of 100° today.
  14. We've also observed some pm 2.5 increases this evening from a variety of sources. It's almost like there's a little layer of this stuff sloshing around within the metros.
  15. Our AQ folks are concerned about the increased number of fireworks in DC combining with increasing pooling of low level moisture from convection. Combine that with the nocturnal boundary layer and it's a recipe for Code Purple inside the beltway.
  16. Fireworks. PM 2.5 gonna be lit tomorrow evening.
  17. My Cooperative Observation site (RSTM2) is making a run to 99° for the second day in a row.
  18. Looks like MRB had some kind of equipment failure.
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