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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Absolutely not. Not under were inside HR 60.
  2. Standard Disclaimer: RE: mixing To keep from and mixing, we do not want to primary low running too deep into West Virginia. Also would need some sort of coastal transfer to lock in cold air east of the mountains.
  3. Thursday looks like the only "warm" day and that's upper 30s/low 40s. The rest of the week looks primed to keep the ground cold. High in the 30s, lows in the mid 20s.
  4. We're in the historical wheelhouse of the EPS and Euro-AI, and they still show a whopper of a storm.
  5. Fresh arctic air on a fresh, deep snowpack will let those temps bust low.
  6. 00z Euro gets warning level snowfall to I-76 next weekend. Big dog potential for the Mason-Dixon folks.
  7. How often do you see Parkton mesonet site get colder than Bittinger?
  8. You know it's going to trend north at some point. We're really sitting good here.
  9. 00z Euro is about 18 hours of light to moderate snow with no temp issues, and on a weekend. It's just beautiful.
  10. Parkton mesonet now colder than Bittinger. Nice.
  11. Yes. It's really encouraging to have the Euro EPS, Euro, and Euro-AI on our side. Even the Canadian, and UKMET are trying for something. There's clearly a signal for a storm and we're now inside HR 150 for most of the event.
  12. Those panels imply 6" - 10" of snow regionwide. Would be a warning level event for almost the entire LWX CWA.
  13. Cold powder snow on the weekend with plenty of wiggle room. Where do I sign?
  14. Classic signal for a significant to major east coast snowfall.
  15. Euro AI is almost a top 10 snowfall for IAD, DCA, and BWI. Incredible.
  16. After working in public safety and transportation for almost 20 years, I can tell you that light to moderate snow events are far, far more impactful. Folks see the lane markers and think they can drive like it's dry roads. Nope. Yup. Rapid onset of an arctic airmass and no wind to wick the surfaces dry. Classic flash freeze.
  17. Areas with even a minimal amount of snow cover are seeing their air temps crash. Parkton mesonet already down to 18 degrees.
  18. I know this is for Philly, but this just underscores the upside potential for this general area in the next 7 days.
  19. I'm optimistic, given the favorable teleconnections and the fact that we're seeing a decent amount of agreement from multiple ensembles.
  20. A 72-hr ensemble MEAN of 6" - 8" from Mason-Dixon to the tidewater of VA. Wow.
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