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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Some impressive wind signatures on those storms near Pittsburgh. Wouldn't surprise me to see a 70 mph reading or two.- 749 replies
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If they maintain mostly sunny and that good wind direction they could get an upper 90 reading here soon.
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Looks like the rain yesterday has boosted surface dews a bit. Helps to offset the fact that air temperatures aren't climbing really into the 90s.
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Finally feels like summer.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
LI's of -9, solid low level lapse rates, and healthy CAPE. If only we had 30-40 kts of shear, we'd be cooking.- 749 replies
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Classic summer morning smells.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Probably why the 30% wind was added.- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
SPC mesonalayis is pretty loaded at 10:30 am for us. Incredible surface CAPE, stouts LI's, and decent low level lapse rates. Only thing lacking is shear. If something fires up today it'll have a solid airmass to work with. Hmm...even some decent mid level lapse rates west of I-81. I wonder if we have a bit a remnant EML trying to crest the mountains?- 749 replies
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M0.82" yesterday. Absolutely poured for an hour. 2" PWATs baby.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The June 5, 2024 tornado outbreak comes to mind. Arguably one of the greatest forecasting snafus east of the Mississippi River in the history of NWS.- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
30% is the new "SEE TEXT" Edit: this post is sarcasm- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Remember when 30% got you an ENH? Pepperidge Farm remembers.- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Outflow boundary evident on radar near Frederick. Looks like the storms lost the terrain boost that was keeping their updrafts going. Should see some more stuff fire up ahead of the main line here shortly?- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Amazing to watch the soils just absorb the rainfall.- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
They can and often do act as a forcing mechanism. More lift!- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Per the latest SPC mesonanalysis, there appears to be a bit of a lee trough running from CHO up to Harrisburg.- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Clarksville mesonet site had a dewpoint of 76. Impressive.- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sligo Creek, I'm looking at you.- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Saw that. Looks like some summer showers and storms. Would be very beneficial.- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice little swirl over West Virginia. If we can get enough sunshine today, we might get some decent storms south of I-70. Might be a DC to EZF special.- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Got a graphic?- 749 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
SPC introduces Slight Risk for Thur and Fri. Personally I'd favor Friday for more widespread convection.- 749 replies
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It was intentional. PS...shameless content plug but @wxmeddler and I are always available for an article on the mesonet if you're looking for local.
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Hai @Ian
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I would favor Friday for more organized severe weather. Thursday gives the all hat no cattle impression.- 749 replies
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