Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
Eskimo Joe replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
You must be new here. It's La Nina in DC. -
Classic La Nina roulette. You play against the warm nose, primary low, late transfer to the coastal, or drier overall.
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We get screwed by the transfer from the primary to the coastal. It causes a lull/minimum in precip. We've seen this happen many times in the past.
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Some are well insulated, others are just glorified quonset huts.
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E/E rule
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Watches from Arizona to New York. Awesome sauce.
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Clear increase in CAD on the 06z Euro. Would *significantly* limit ZR risk in Maryland, and favor sleet.
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
Eskimo Joe replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
It also drove the primary further south into Alabama. Good things for snow lovers. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Eskimo Joe replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A historic snowfall for many. -
Comparing 18z -> 00z -> 06z I see two trends emerging, both of which may be in our favor: 1.) High pressure over New England appears to be trending west and stronger. This will absolutely help to lock in cold air. 2.) The ensembles are trying to throw more emphasis on the coastal low, which would cut off warm air intrusion and reduce the mix or sleet risk north of US 50. Let's see if these trends hold or improve today.
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06z GFS is a historic snowfall for many. Wow.
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Single digits for most of Delmarva is nuts.
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From the source:
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Anybody got 10:1 snow map for the 18z Euro?
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Agreed. The bleeding needs to stop and quick.
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Cold sleet for I-95 and points south and east. Very PDII.
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We want that coastal cranking and a quick handoff.
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18z GFS is record snowfall for @Bob Chill
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18z GFS crushes central and southern Virginia with sleet and ZR overnight. Legitimate ice storm.
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18z GFS kills the primary off and pops a coastal quicker. It's all snow. She's a beaut, Clark!
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I mean. . .he wrote the book on snow in these parts.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Eskimo Joe replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z ICON appears to get the sleet/snow line up the PA Turnpike. Keeps totals below 10" along the Mason-Dixon counties. -
Welp, that's a definitely changeover on the 18z ICON. Looks like a lot of sleet that cuts totals down.
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From @griteater
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A nice, easy warm advection snow event would be the best. No mixing, just cold powder.
