Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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The Euro AI and AI ENS, for better or worse, seem to be deadly in the D5-D8 range lately. I would mark this D11-D13 potential pattern reshuffle as an initial benchmark for whether patterns get can kicked or come in as advertised.
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No. We must be sullen on an Internet weather board, or else how we will be able to live with ourselves? The misery must be shared!
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@griteater posting
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If you're referring to the theorem by Judah Cohen that postulates rapid snow cover advance can weaken the polar vortex, the jury seems to believe that's incorrect.
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That winter was awesome in Philly. It just snowed and we saw a lot of well timed cold shots.
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Looks like a rather ugly start to snow and ice cover season.
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I'm fine with no big cold in before Thanksgiving. Save it for winter.
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Last hour stay of execution from the govenor.
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M0.03" Reisterstown. Dodged just about everything.
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Another one @wxmeddler is on a roll.
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Happy Friday weenies. @wxmeddler and I did a thing. These are the first two tripod stations in the network. I'm excited that we'll get some better data at the southern end of Parr's Ridge, where the Gaithersburg station is ~350 ft. ASL and the Germantown station is ~630 feet ASL.
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Heat index in the low 90s at some mesonet sites in early October. October is the new September it seems.
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Heck of a way to run a Super Duper El Nino
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Anything but that.
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Build better heights in Greenland and we're golden.
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10/10 sunset and moon rise.
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If the Euro AI wins then it would really boost my confidence in it going into winter, for better or worse. Seems like the Europeans are really upping their NWP -> AI game.
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Berlin mesonet site had a peak gust of 36 mph earlier today. Will be interesting to see how this storm plays out this weekend. Hope it's a sign of a decent winter incoming.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Eskimo Joe replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Hope this becomes a theme for the winter. +PNA can really mitigate the Pacific Puke in Canada. -
Noteworthy test for the Euro AI here, IMO. If this scores a coup then maybe we can trust it more.
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Give me this 500mb evolution all winter. West coast ridge, blocking in Greenland, trough over us...yea buddy.
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While a strong, east-based El Nino is probably hostile for snow chances I wonder what, if any role the Atlantic may play since it's not been turned over with any meaningful tropical cyclone activity.
