Jump to content

Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    24,731

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    If you liked the 11z HRRR, you'll love the 12z HRRR. Legit squall line.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Do we want to put the obs, etc. in this thread today, or the severe wx thread? I vote for here.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Clouds. Our most common failure mode. Hope we can clear out today.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Man you can script a precip minimum better than that.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Biggest tornado outbreak in this region.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    18z HRRR largely clouds over the warm sector tomorrow. Hard to see that happening.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. Unfortunately, my confidence in SPC has really been shaken since they've changed these outlooks.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    D2 ENH is the new D2 MOD in these parts.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    12z NAM twins look like complete garbage. Not even MRGL risk worthy. Ooof.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Thank you for the clarification! I've seen more AFDs reference "WPC AI guidance" and was getting concerned it was becoming just plug and chug computer nonsense in the Mid and long range.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC, any forecast beyond D3 now is straight AI/auto generated with minimal input from forecasters. If I am wrong, someone please correct me.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    The only thing worse than a D2 MOD risk is a D3 ENH.
  13. Eskimo Joe
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Another big plume coming down from Canada. Western PA and Ohio back to Code Orange.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    There still is some suspended smoke on satellite.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Hopefully Canada isn't torched by Pacific puke for most of the winter.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    What would have been needed for more robust, widespread severe given that profile?
  18. Eskimo Joe
    ^Liz Leitman issuing that outlook. She's an incredible forecaster.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    With a raging east based El Nino? Don't hold your breath
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Thankfully the tornado risk isn't playing out.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Something's bound to pop on that.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Gust to 31 mph, M1.17" rainfall Frederick City mesonet site at the Community College.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Storms along the Frederick/Montgomery County line fading. Looks like an outflow boundary pushing south along I-270.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Storm just blowing up near Thurmont. Zero to wheeee in like 3 frames.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Frederick/Montgomery County going to be swapped from a Severe Thunderstorm Watch to a Tornado Watch
×
×
  • Create New...