Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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The 12z Euro nudges west again. It's getting to the point where Tropical Storm Watches are going to be required for the Outer Banks.
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This thing is one bad turn away from having an few outer rainbands scrape portions of the eastern seaboard. At the very least, this will be a decent surf/tidal event. The wording is warranted, IMO.
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Notable changes for our coastal folks on the 18z GFS and ICON. Both nudge west and the GFS puts a steady easterly flow on the beaches. Would be rip current city.
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From the main thread.
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12z Euro way west. Scrapes outer banks and maybe even lower Delmarva with outer rain bands.
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Yes that was an enjoyable sunset.
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Give me a pattern changing 1" - 3" event the week before Christmas. Then a nice 6" - 10" cold powder event on Christmas Day afternoon that sticks around for a week.
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Afternoon run of the Euro would make me sweat a bit if I'm a coastal resident.
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Sneaky severe day today: Surface CAPE 3,000 + across most of the area LI -6 or better east of US 15 High PWATs w/ some mid level drying to aid propagation of isolated wet microbursts. Surface lapse rates are decent Might see a few decent cells fire along some boundary.
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Last winter would have been a real nice one if the early January and late February events didn't skunk at the last minute.
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Would vastly prefer numerous light to moderate events with good cold that maintain some semblance of a snow pack, versus one big event that melts off in 2 days.
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Great for pain.
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Too much rain too fast.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Good. Keep lower Delmarva dry.
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Yup. Look at the rainfall gradients from yesterday. Quite impressive.
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Well now
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I finally get a week off to go to the beach and the forecast jut tanks. Lovely.
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M3" storm total RSTM2 COOP site
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I mean, how often do you see almost 60,000 foot clouds tops on storms in this part?
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Late breaking news, but we managed to get Sykesville mesonet site in Carroll County online just before the storms arrived: https://mesonet.umd.edu/station?stid=MDMSNT-29 Big credit to @wxmeddler and it was great to see @wxmvpete again!
