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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Peak heating
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Water vapor satellite imagery is actually encouraging.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    We fail 9.9/10 times. We're just trying to stay grounded.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    I tell ya. D2 Moderate Risk is the kiss of death in these parts. It's a solid setup, but we fail more often than not in these parts.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Yea that makes no sense. I don't understand these early dismissals.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Did SPC nudge a 60% wind in the d2 mod risk, or was that always there?
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Lee surface low would make this legit MOD risk for tor/svr winds
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Welp....
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Yes he's extremely conservative.
  10. Eskimo Joe
  11. Eskimo Joe
  12. Eskimo Joe
    That's an entirely different event.
  13. Eskimo Joe
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Good trends if you want legit severe here tomorrow.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    06z HRRR had a UHI track from Dulles right to York, PA, another right over DC< and two more through Stafford and La Plata. Wow.
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    SPC mentioning the potential for a long track tornado or two. Oh man.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    00z HRRR is legit. Several pre-frontal mini supercells then a solid squall line.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Yea for better or worse, if we go D2 MOD it's probably best to make a thread. We only average a mod risk once every couple of years.
  20. Eskimo Joe
  21. Eskimo Joe
    GFS, RAP, and NAM slow the front down a bit and push it through during peak heating now.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    That's for the Day 1 midday update when we're socked in with fog and still in the 40s.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Afternoon, IMO.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Yea were probably going to get a 2 MOD. Classic kiss of death.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Feb 7, 2020.
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