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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Yea. All of a sudden the CU field went poof at work too. Wonder if there's some subsidence or something.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0884.html
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Yea, it probably won't be available until 2:30 at the earliest.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Wonder if they're waiting on the 18z RAOB before making a call on a watch?
  5. Eskimo Joe
    I know that, I was referring to the convective outlook placement prior to the event.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    We always win when LWX / SPC are playing catch up, whether it's winter or summer.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Correct. Source: https://www.facebook.com/SHARPpy.wx/posts/tutorial-how-to-tell-if-your-sounding-is-convectively-contaminatedwith-spring-co/1592950307629254/
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Yoda, take solace in knowing that we fail 9.99/10 times and on our biggest day, Derecho 2012, SPC didn't even have us in a SLGT until a few hours before the event.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Trifecta for the big three hitting 90°.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    RIP, IAD to Mappy tomorrow on the 12z NAMNEST at HR 34 -> 36
  11. Eskimo Joe
    It would be peak DC to be in an ENH and miss everything.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Would tend to agree with you. The SFC - 3km heliticty values are far more impressive north of Mason-Dixon down into the upper Delaware Bay region.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Correct on all accounts. The 00z IAD sounding prior to the 2012 derecho had an 850 temp of +24. the science officer at LWX did a quick analysis and found that 850 temps only occurred 6 times beforehand.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Red Box for PA and Cecil County until 00z...
  15. Eskimo Joe
    DCA and BWI...just need IAD for the trifecta. Looks like some CU popping so the cap must be breaking. Hope it holds until the storm get closer from the west.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Blue box for West Virginia until 7:00 pm. I'd imagine we can't be far behind.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    We really are looking pretty good down to I-66(ish). Good sunshine, decent dews, decent shear, good mid and low level lapse rates.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Just to our north and within the hour: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0881.html
  19. Eskimo Joe
    The 12z RAOB from IAD indicated a convective temp of 89°, which most areas are nearing. The 18z special RAOB should be publicly available around 2:30 pm...going to be interesting to see what it tells.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Nothing will beat the tornadoes from Ivan. That's the benchmark for tornadoes in these parts.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    I don't think today is a tornado day. It's a wind/hail day.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    We have some decent mid level lapse rates to our west. That's good to see. More sustained updrafts and DCAPE is pushing up as well. I'm still in for today, but I know the best action is probably more Baltimore than DC.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Always will be.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    ATTN: @yoda
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Heh, we're already popping ~2,000 SBCAPE at 10:15 am.
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