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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Euro sucks for temps as of late. Almost sucks as much as our climo.
  2. He's right up there with Reed Timmer and TWC level of terrible.
  3. JB is a nut. Take anything he says with a huge grain of salt.
  4. Shocker, everything is gusting out and falling apart.
  5. Love this weather. Finally summer.
  6. That area is more developed than surrounding locations and next to a corn field.
  7. Could be at different altitudes. Felt the east boundary in Reisterstown and it knocked about 4 degrees off the temp.
  8. Deep watering tonight for the garden pumpkins loving the heat.
  9. 90 to 94 for a high isn't hot in these parts...it's summer.
  10. Up in Maine through the 27th. Anything worth doing in Freeport or Bar Harbor besides the usual tourist stuff?
  11. That was an epic period from Richmond to Maine. Big fronts and big moisture.
  12. MOD came after the 00z RAOB for IAD showed a pronounced EML and CAPE.
  13. The high SB CAPE on the SPC meso page is probably being shown due to a few stations with anomalously high Td, namely KMTN (Martin St Airport), KNHK (NAS Patuxent) and KNAK (Naval Academy). Their proximity to the water may be representative of the local conditions near the observation site but it's similar to how DCA can torch if the winds flip to the SW or back to the SE off the water. The ML CAPE values are more realistic, and even then might be a ~100 j/kg too high because they are incorporating the above stations.
  14. ^i'm in Maine that day...bank on a big event. Even possible legit MOD risk day.
  15. So, I guess we're getting a watch? https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md1115.html
  16. That's centered over KMTN which has a high surface Td compared to the rest of the stations nearby. KGED also does that sometimes on the eastern shore and it gives a bad impression.
  17. Also have a convective temp of 87° which is dubious to reach.
  18. LWX's AFD is a bit curious...the visible satellite shows the region is socked in with mid level clouds. Not sure how we manage to get north of ~1,000 CAPE without better sunshine.
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