Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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So long as my grass is covered with frozen precip I'm good.
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Best lift is below the DGZ in that panel. Would probably be wet snow and some ice pellets. Still beats 35 and rain.
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EPS looks better.
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WRT to the fall line, that looks reasonable.
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If you're south of US50 in MD, this really doesn't seem to be your storm. Maybe advisory level snow if things work out on the back side, but this setup just isn't favorable for far southern MD.
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06z OP Euro appears SE of its 00z counterpart.
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From your mouth to Ji's ears.
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I am honored to be on be on the bingo card.
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My cutoff has always been HR60.
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^man knock like 2 degrees off that and everyone wins. We are so close to a regionwide victory.
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Agreed
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No one along or west of I-95 should be upset with the 18z EPS...even cutting the totals in half, it's a solid low end warning event at least. Even Charles and southern PG get a decent advisory level event.
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18z EPS is much improved compared to 12z EPS.
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Okay that's a bit aggressive.
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IMO, there are negligible changes between the 18z OP Euro at HR90 and the 12z OP Euro at the same timeframe.
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12z op GFS at has a monster 200 mb jetstream that allow the surface low to really ventilate and torque west. The 00z/06z/12z did not have a feature as pronounced. Wonder if that's a blip or a sign of something.
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I just want the grass covered. That's all I'm asking. A 4" - 6" event.
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18z OP GFS cuts the coastal low into Point Lookout...that's really far west. Wonder what the ensembles will say. If they're all west we probably have a problem.
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IMO, 18z OP GFS trended in the wrong direction back to US 15. Mix line gets even past @mappy.
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Tony Pann on WBAL going full weenie on social media.
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Thank you so much for your continued analysis in this forum from afar. It's always appreciated.
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So far it appears as though the Euro EPS is the "worst" case scenario for snow lovers, the op Euro/UKMET/ICON/GFS/GEFS in the middle, the CMC/GGEM is the best.
