Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Wes isn't enthused by the 12z OP euro.
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WRT to 12z EPS, the mean/individual members are not as wound up as the OP. It would argue all snow for everyone north of St. Mary's city. Hope we see the GFS start to catch on.
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Notice how the Pacific ridge is actually here, we almost get some cross polar flow here so temps won't be an issue with any storm that we get.
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6 days out, everything has shift NW with time this winter. Lets see what the Euro has at 12z.
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No. Next question.
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Agreed. Standard caveat is that folks should always have low expectations going into this and be happy with what we get. To see this in a La Nina pattern is pretty amazing.
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12z EPS sets up decent western ridge and maintains the stout -NAO. Cross polar flow tries to show up around Jan 16th. This is a signal that has existed for the past 24 hours:
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*ahem* I'll have you know I'm on the southern end of Jackpotville™.
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EPS sets up cross polar flow and a western ridge towards the end of the run. To have it show up on the ensembles and not some rogue OP run is important and boost confidence in this solution:
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meso models starting to really ping an advisory level snow event Sunday for I-70 north and US15 west.
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12z GFS/CMC definitely trended in the right direction.
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Trace ZR Reisterstown 32/29.
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Yea Eric Webb isn't a big snow weenie. If he starts getting interested then so do I.
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IIRC it was the winter of 2017-2018. We got almost a half inch of ice in northern Montgomery County.
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How long until Ji complains?
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It's now 2021 for those living in UTC time. 33/30 with light fireworks in Reisterstown.
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Double bump
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Bump to get us closer to 100 pages.
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Hell, if we manage like back-to-back-to-back 5" - 10" event in the course of like 2 weeks that would be 100%+ of climo for everyone.
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I'm not expecting consistent double digit snowfalls, but this should at least get almost everyone to climo if the pattern holds. Hell, after the past two winters climo will feel great.
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The signal from mid January on is hawt. I haven't been this excited since 2010.
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Yea the evolution really is nice.
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^there's definitely been a trend to nudge everything over to NA instead of the other side of the hemisphere. Good to see.
