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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    12z op GFS at has a monster 200 mb jetstream that allow the surface low to really ventilate and torque west. The 00z/06z/12z did not have a feature as pronounced. Wonder if that's a blip or a sign of something.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    I just want the grass covered. That's all I'm asking. A 4" - 6" event.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    18z OP GFS cuts the coastal low into Point Lookout...that's really far west. Wonder what the ensembles will say. If they're all west we probably have a problem.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    IMO, 18z OP GFS trended in the wrong direction back to US 15. Mix line gets even past @mappy.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Tony Pann on WBAL going full weenie on social media.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Thank you so much for your continued analysis in this forum from afar. It's always appreciated.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    So far it appears as though the Euro EPS is the "worst" case scenario for snow lovers, the op Euro/UKMET/ICON/GFS/GEFS in the middle, the CMC/GGEM is the best.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Yea the 12z EPS isnt great for anyone east of I81. Hope this doesn't shift further west.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Even if you cut the euro snow totals in half, it's a legit warning criteria event.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    12z OP Euro is nice. Nothing to worry about.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Euro is not bad from I95 and points north and west. Even DC and Baltimore City proper aren't terrible. Just a tick colder and the big cities win.
  12. Eskimo Joe
  13. Eskimo Joe
    12z OP GFS is money for Wed. Can't post images because I'm mobile, but it's good for you all. Solid warning event.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Oh yea, this is might be a good run.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    So far on the 12z OP GFS, the confluence to our north looks a touch better and the high in Quebec looks a tad better.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Never trust the 10:1 snow maps unless the whole column stays below -7. Otherwise, expect 2"-4" and be happy with what you get. It's just part of the climo of this area.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yea, 12z Tuesday suite is my go/no go for Wednesday. By then the Monday event is gone and we'll know for sure.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Naw. It's an early season event and I'm expecting mixing at my house. You're all looking pretty good in Central PA. We're in the Euro's wheelhouse now and it's still solid. If this holds through 00z Monday runs we are probably good.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    It's times like this that I'm glad I live above 600 feet in elevation. This. Wouldn't be shocked to see some last minute bump one way or the other Tuesday morning once the Monday event clears.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    ICON appears to be a big hit for @HighStakes, @losetoa6, @psuhoffman, and @mappy, highly elevation dependent.
  21. Eskimo Joe
  22. Eskimo Joe
    ARW...Always Really Wet NMM...Not Much Moisture
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Yea. As I was saying in the mid/long range thread in the MA forum, even at this time last year it was painfully clear that we were staring down the barrel of a shut out through mid January.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    I've been burned too many times outside of Jan/early Feb. I'm only expecting for an inch or two down here in NW Baltimore County and hope that we boom. It would be reallly nice to see something like 3" - 5" on the Christmas decorations.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Standard caveats apply here: we're HR100+, it's early season, etc. But y'all are looking good.
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