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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Everything correlates to a warm [insert winter month here] anymore in these parts.
  2. The heavier stuff over the city is sliding south of us, but there's a bit of a leaf of light/mod precip that may clip us. It's been alluded to in the WPC disco: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=626&yr=2020
  3. Naw this stuff is sliding south...won't get north of Owings Mills / Hunt Valley.
  4. US 50 corridor in Maryland about to get it good.
  5. https://www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/wof/#:~:text=Warn-on-Forecast is a,flash flood warning lead times.&text=A new approach is needed to extend effective lead time.
  6. Westminster is the new DCA. 93° w/ a 101° HI.
  7. Check out "MD Bass Fishing" facebook group.
  8. base reflectivity looks worse than CC or KDP. Doesn't appear to be heavy rainfall or hail mixing in ATTM.
  9. You need a couple of fishing lines in the water.
  10. Hope I'm wrong and Frederick/Carroll get rocked.
  11. Yea, this is shaping up to be a pretty big bust outside of NE MD. AM clouds have really ruined the instability.
  12. NAM-Nest and HRRR like northern MD. Everyone else loses.
  13. Should return right in time for winter.
  14. Pity meso: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md1417.html
  15. 21z HRRR is pretty meh for storms, outside of a rogue cluster in Frederick County, MD in the 7p - 10p timeframe.
  16. If I were a betting man, my money would go on a PW/FFX/PG/Charles County jackpot today.
  17. Convection over RIC / Williamsburg may be choking everything off.
  18. CAMS/HREF love I-66 and points south today. MD into PA and Delaware left high and dry.
  19. Tony Pann sharing the HMON on twitter
  20. IMO, 93L needs to be at least a PTC. Several ASCAT passes show it's healthy, has a tightening circulation and isn't getting disrupted by anything (shear, etc.).
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