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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. We're really wasting a good severe weather day. If we could even manage 2 to 3 hours of legit sun that line trying to form in West Virginia would be cooking.
  2. Looks like this thing is racing east. Might be all she wrote for any flooding or severe issues today.
  3. Triple point with some EML ahead of it on a negatively tilted trough.
  4. Yea if this trend keeps up, then May and early June could be interesting.
  5. One thing that could work in our favor for severe weather for tomorrow would be if a surface low pops on the lee of the mountains. The 00z/12z Euro, and to a lesser extent the 12z NAM, tries to show this tomorrow. That would aid the warm front in popping north and giving some better lift closer to DC and Baltimore. If this were May, I'd be more inclined to believe that, but right now I think that's a long shot. Looks like south of I-66 to east of US 50 are in a better position for some interesting weather tomorrow.
  6. Wind gust to 102 mph reported at the Boyd, KY Emergency Operations Center (EOC) weather station earlier today. The reading was recorded on a Davis VP2 station that appears to be mounted properly
  7. NWS Charleston is getting multiple reports of tornadoes so they are just warning the entire line. Makes sense.
  8. Would place my money on Baltimore and NE having the better shot at flooding. They're quite saturated.
  9. FYI, I wouldn't take much stock in the CAMs through 18z, given the national radar outage. They initialize pretty heavily based off radar data IIRC.
  10. So, the HRRR at range for Wednesday loves Frederick, Carroll, and Baltimore counties it seems.
  11. So we're back to a lot of rain Monday to Wednesday maybe?
  12. Agreed. This isn't our threat unless something changes big time.
  13. Classic elevated convection.
  14. Yes there are. Every county in the state will get them. The three biggest challenges with this project are finding appropriate locations, coordinating the land use agreements with the owners, and getting good weather to prep the site and deploy the equipment. We just installed the first urban mesonet tower in Baltimore City last week and it was a tough process to get a site that had enough open space to capture the nearby environment appropriately.
  15. I could stand a quiet spring to get more mesonet stations in the ground.
  16. It's hard to be excited beyond a day or 30 hours out from the event. Unless you have some big Bermuda high set up with northwest flow, there are so many variables that can muck up severe weather this time of year.
  17. Just give me April 4th clear so we can install a mesonet station in PG county.
  18. Dewpoints really crashing fast behind this front. Tomorrow could be interesting.
  19. Tides, weather, unexpected events popping up. That's a safe estimate. There's no way they're going to work at night.
  20. I think the Orioles are good.
  21. Sneaky wildfire risk west of I-81 this afternoon and tomorrow.
  22. Both the HRRR and NAM nudged east overnight, and they may be a bit too far west based off recent radar and satellite trends. The surface winds on the ASOS and mesonet stations are all northwest, which would reinforce the belief the system is a bit east of the original forecast. It's probably going to be an iffy opening day, but the Orioles could get the game in.
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