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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. That was one of the best boom scenarios. Was at the fire department in Carroll County for that. We got close to 8" when only 2". Here's the list of LWX products issued that day, courtesy of the IEM Bot: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?source=LWX&year=2013&month=12&day=8&year2=2021&month2=1&day2=22&view=time&order=asc
  2. I'd pay real money to have Ji 5-posted.
  3. Rule 46 of this area, "CAD strengthens as we get closer to the event."
  4. My wife gave me the "are you kidding me" look about 2 years after we moved and she found out why I love Reisterstown so much. Having 600 ft+ elevation really helps in marginal events.
  5. IMO, 12z GEFS is winter storm watch criteria for the Mason-Dixon counties. Would look like 4" - 7".
  6. That's Level II on the Eskimo Joe Snow Pyramid of Success™.
  7. Haven't seen anything but I would imagine that if things bust colder for the first event it would help reinforce the colder air for wave #2.
  8. Ah, so big bust potential then. Classic. Here's to snow
  9. I've learned to set my expectations low here over the past 3 years.
  10. On the 12z Euro, it appears that H5 is a bit flatter out ahead of the system than it's 00z counterpart. Would be nice to score two solid advisory level events next week.
  11. So EMT class has sucked me into a black hole. Are there 2 threats for next week...Monday and Thursday?
  12. It's not out of the realm of possibility that we squeak out a quick cartopper from the weekend event. I would put the odds at 1 in 5 right now.
  13. For those wondering about the cold, the end of the 18z OP GFS has DC not getting out of the upper 20s on Inauguration Day. Sub zero air in Canada and the Great Lakes.
  14. He thinks this is a quick snow to rain for everyone, but admits it's several days off. From my conservations with Wes over the years, he's generally pessimistic about potential snow events in La Nina winters in these parts.
  15. Wes isn't enthused by the 12z OP euro.
  16. WRT to 12z EPS, the mean/individual members are not as wound up as the OP. It would argue all snow for everyone north of St. Mary's city. Hope we see the GFS start to catch on.
  17. Notice how the Pacific ridge is actually here, we almost get some cross polar flow here so temps won't be an issue with any storm that we get.
  18. 6 days out, everything has shift NW with time this winter. Lets see what the Euro has at 12z.
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