Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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6 days out, everything has shift NW with time this winter. Lets see what the Euro has at 12z.
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No. Next question.
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Agreed. Standard caveat is that folks should always have low expectations going into this and be happy with what we get. To see this in a La Nina pattern is pretty amazing.
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12z EPS sets up decent western ridge and maintains the stout -NAO. Cross polar flow tries to show up around Jan 16th. This is a signal that has existed for the past 24 hours:
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*ahem* I'll have you know I'm on the southern end of Jackpotville™.
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EPS sets up cross polar flow and a western ridge towards the end of the run. To have it show up on the ensembles and not some rogue OP run is important and boost confidence in this solution:
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meso models starting to really ping an advisory level snow event Sunday for I-70 north and US15 west.
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12z GFS/CMC definitely trended in the right direction.
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Trace ZR Reisterstown 32/29.
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Yea Eric Webb isn't a big snow weenie. If he starts getting interested then so do I.
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IIRC it was the winter of 2017-2018. We got almost a half inch of ice in northern Montgomery County.
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How long until Ji complains?
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It's now 2021 for those living in UTC time. 33/30 with light fireworks in Reisterstown.
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Double bump
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Bump to get us closer to 100 pages.
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Hell, if we manage like back-to-back-to-back 5" - 10" event in the course of like 2 weeks that would be 100%+ of climo for everyone.
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I'm not expecting consistent double digit snowfalls, but this should at least get almost everyone to climo if the pattern holds. Hell, after the past two winters climo will feel great.
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The signal from mid January on is hawt. I haven't been this excited since 2010.
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Yea the evolution really is nice.
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^there's definitely been a trend to nudge everything over to NA instead of the other side of the hemisphere. Good to see.
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Yup. Less latent heat release and more time to accrete in cold surfaces.
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It's a damn shame we can rid ourselves of this low in the Gulf of Alaska. Without it, that Aleutian Low would be pumping one hell of a west coast ridge for us.
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Key difference with Euro weeklies now is that it's NW flow across all of Canada which rapidly builds snow cover and solidifies a cP airmass for us. If this holds, it significantly increases the likelihood of below normal temps and at least embedded clippers.
