Eskimo Joe

Yup. I've learned to always bet on a fail and be happy with anything you get.

Strengthening or mature sub 1000 mb lows running CLE -> BUF don't go quietly into the night here. If this continues, especially with the little secondary low running close to us, we could certinaly get a sneaky event with a big storm or two embedded.

Gotta watch those. Sneaky secondary max that can surprise a few areas real quick.

DMV was under multiple tornado watches for almost 20 consecutive hours. What an event that was.

I hope I'm wrong, but everyone was saying how things would change after 9/11, Katrina, the 2011 tsunami, Northridge earthquake and here we are today.

You'll have to excuse me with the overly pessimistic posts. My viewpoint is framed through my experience of looking at events that occur with a regular frequency (hurricanes, cyber, public health, etc.) and reading the after action reports. In this country, we consistently fail to adapt and the same 5 or 6 pitfalls catch us every time, yet we act like it's a shocker both within the public safety realm and outside it, when this happens. Our country could be vastly more efficient and resilient to disasters if we embraced a more scientific, long term view of how to adapt to a changing world. Instead we focus so much on short term gain and response in this country. Pandemics are one of the few purely human caused and solved disasters in this world which puts our failures or successes squared on our shoulders.

IMO, until there is broader acceptance of mitigation efforts such as sick leave for employees, regardless of the size of a company, and sustained funding of public health efforts like biosurveillance and rapid testing, this will continue.

I'm not sure the economic folks are going to allow that in the future. There's been an incredible push back from the business community about this and the field I work in juggles this with every event. Some of the push back is from sectors of the economy that cannot or choose not to adjust to a modified service delivery model. It dumbfounds me to see employers belly ache they cannot either give some medical leave to sick employees or shift to online or slightly distanced delivery of goods to the customer. Other employers, like HEB grocery, adjusted to this event overnight and have continued their front facing operations without much negative impact.

I really doubt it. Once the first football game kicks off this autumn everyone will forget this even happened. We won't learn from anything in this country and when the next pandemic happens in another decade or so, we'll be back at square one.

LWX issued SVR #32 at 4:22 am to 5:00 am and this occurred around 4:35 am based off radar.

Ohio and Maryland were the most aggressive states with physical distancing and other societal measures to slow community transmission. It's no surprise that we're going to emerge stronger than most of the US.

The temperature inversion acts to dampen sound and is more common during nocturnal convection.

FYI:

Sounds like elevated convection. You see all the lightning but don't hear the thunder. It's like sitting on the bottom of a pool and looking up and everything moving but not hearing the sound.

Bethesda, MD from this AM round of storms:

40% chance of a WW: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md0294.html

CAMS FTW...looks like that cluster near Haymarket may get warned here shortly. Nice velocities on the 0.5° BV.

Collards are almost ready for eating, shallots and garlic coming along nicely. Radishes and beets going in Saturday. Pepper, beans, squash and tomatoes are all started.

If it's tracked right, MD will get ~75% of the COVID19 expenditures back from the Major Disaster Declaration but that's a ways off.

Part of me was hoping for an 18z RAOB out of IAD or PITT given the setup for potentially large hailers, but that doesn't appear to be the case.

Thick cloud cover and this crapvection rolling into the I-81 corridor has probably nixed the afternoon risk of storms north of I-66. The 12z sounding out of IAD has a ConvT of 68° and the only place that really is exceeding that is from Warrenton south. Everywhere else is struggling to heat.

Here is the Twitter profile for a well respect pollution / aerosol earth scientist at NASA Goddard. I went to school with him and was always impressed with his knowledge of NOx and pollution mapping: https://twitter.com/ryans_wx

Yes. Several jurisdictions have county-run operations and some hospitals have them as well so this it's a consideration for us as well.

Right after we opened COVID testing sites. At least it's the HRRR so it'll probably end up verifying in the ocean or over Luray.

My wife had to do the same thing when she was laid off for a 7 month period. We've learned more about the state's unemployment system than we care to know. PM me with any questions you may have.