Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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If you're south of US50 in MD, this really doesn't seem to be your storm. Maybe advisory level snow if things work out on the back side, but this setup just isn't favorable for far southern MD.
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06z OP Euro appears SE of its 00z counterpart.
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From your mouth to Ji's ears.
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I am honored to be on be on the bingo card.
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My cutoff has always been HR60.
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^man knock like 2 degrees off that and everyone wins. We are so close to a regionwide victory.
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Agreed
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No one along or west of I-95 should be upset with the 18z EPS...even cutting the totals in half, it's a solid low end warning event at least. Even Charles and southern PG get a decent advisory level event.
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18z EPS is much improved compared to 12z EPS.
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Okay that's a bit aggressive.
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IMO, there are negligible changes between the 18z OP Euro at HR90 and the 12z OP Euro at the same timeframe.
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12z op GFS at has a monster 200 mb jetstream that allow the surface low to really ventilate and torque west. The 00z/06z/12z did not have a feature as pronounced. Wonder if that's a blip or a sign of something.
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I just want the grass covered. That's all I'm asking. A 4" - 6" event.
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18z OP GFS cuts the coastal low into Point Lookout...that's really far west. Wonder what the ensembles will say. If they're all west we probably have a problem.
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IMO, 18z OP GFS trended in the wrong direction back to US 15. Mix line gets even past @mappy.
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Tony Pann on WBAL going full weenie on social media.
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Thank you so much for your continued analysis in this forum from afar. It's always appreciated.
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So far it appears as though the Euro EPS is the "worst" case scenario for snow lovers, the op Euro/UKMET/ICON/GFS/GEFS in the middle, the CMC/GGEM is the best.
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Yea the 12z EPS isnt great for anyone east of I81. Hope this doesn't shift further west.
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Even if you cut the euro snow totals in half, it's a legit warning criteria event.
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Central PA - Winter 2020/2021
Eskimo Joe replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
12z OP Euro is nice. Nothing to worry about. -
Euro is not bad from I95 and points north and west. Even DC and Baltimore City proper aren't terrible. Just a tick colder and the big cities win.
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