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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Weatherbell or TT would be preferred then cut everything in half and use that as the high number in your range.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Pivotal snow maps have a known bias to not be the best. Almost any other site is better.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    You literally maximize the lift in the DGZ. You'd even super saturate with that.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    18z EPS is pretty terrible. There's really no way to put it nicely. Event the Mason-Dixon crew flips and back to I-81. We gotta hope it's wrong.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    To my eyes, the NAM looks east by a decent chunk (50 miles?).
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Updates watch text from CTP:
  8. Eskimo Joe
    LWX expanding the watch into the counties bordering DC. EDIT: @H2O gets a watch
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Where do I sign?
  10. Eskimo Joe
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Bingo. If that coastal pops earlier than forecast we all win.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    NAM seems to be incredibly aggressive with shoving plain rain up into even THV/LNS. Probably going to be some mixing issues along Mason/Dixon but I can't see how that verifies. It's the warmest of all solutions by a long shot.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    On the 12z Euro, as the low pulls away it flips even the US 50 corridor down to about St. Mary's City back to a period of accumulating snow.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Yea you're looking [conservatively] at 7" - 10" on the Euro.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Temp at 32.9. Got a slushy coating on the car, deck, pool, and grass. Two days ago it was 60 degrees. I'm cool with this.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    I'm actually okay with the Euro.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    12z Euro gets a few sleet pellet up to Rt. 30 in York/Lancaster counties. Otherwise it's another solid run for everyone. Looks like a solid 8" - 12" event for many south of Rt. 22 (conservative thinking).
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Probably going to be a lot of mixing for the NW suburbs, but it isn't the end of the world. This is a generic high end advisory, maybe low end warning event N&W of I-95 per the Euro, unless I'm missing something. It absolutely stings to lose a big storm inside of D5, but this event is shaping up to give a lot of people more snow before December 20th than in the past 2 winters. Climo in this area is a b*tch. Longitude and elevation are you friends when living here.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Flipped back to all wet snow and now starting to accumulate on the grass, deck, cars, and pool.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    @WxUSAF is right. I'm at 33 and rain. My wind flipped to SE.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Yea that makes sense. Hope it nudges back sound and I cash in. Just want a solid coating.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Just flipped back to all rain but my temp fell to 33. Really weird.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    This is why I live at ~600 ft.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    The Frederick Valley unfortunately does poorly in events with weak cold air advection.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Temp down to 34, slushy coating on the back porch roof and pool.
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