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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    It's going into the West Virginia Radar Hole™ now. More lightning picking up across WV so maybe there's a response from that cluster?
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Meso model have been alluding to this since last night.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    As soon as I type that, we get a SVR with tornado possible tag just east of Elkins, WV and there's better clearing in the WV panhandle and western MD. Maybe there's a window for one or two good segments still.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    It would be peak DC to have everything miss to our south east and north.
  5. Eskimo Joe
  6. Eskimo Joe
    It seems to be a bit worse. The lack of weather data from commercial aircraft is really hampering NWP. The guidance for us yesterday had everyone getting towards 75 to 80 degrees south of DC and we're stuck in the mid 60s down to EZF at nearly 10:00 am.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Yesterday I expressed concern that the carolinas would steal the show or we'd have a tad too much cloud cover. It appears we're getting both. While I'm still hoping for something to happen with the afternoon activity, it looks like we're going to bust on the low end here unless something changes.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Yea the gap is closing a bit more than I'd like to see.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Per some sky cams, there is some blue sky trying to work into Garrett County. It's definitely a bit more muted than i'd like for today, but it's not going to take much instability for an active afternoon to be realized.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    ^PWAT of 19?
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Something must be up with SPCs site...none of the 12z RAOBs have been posted yet.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Yea they seem almost completely disinterested in anything north of RIC.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Really anxious for the 12z RAOB out of IAD.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Yes.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    It might in fact be.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    All the low levels clouds are clearing out pretty rapidly down here. Event some if the mid level junk is trying to break up.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Winds shifted to SW in Gaithersburg at our wx station.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Supercell composite up to 8 in SW VA, DCAPE around 700. Not too bad for 8:30 in the morning.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Here is a great video n how to read a TAF:
  20. Eskimo Joe
    How often do you see a TAF like this:
  21. Eskimo Joe
    I'm good with staying here as well for this event.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Got my eye on Charleston, WV radar. That's where our activity will be forming over the next 2 to 3 hours.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    The latest one.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    HRRR is lit for us later today. Tons of discrete stuff through 18/19z. Really hope this isn't a care of the HRRR being HRRible.
  25. Eskimo Joe
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