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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. 100% agree. We started working on our recovery/re-opening plan the day after Hogan announced the shuttering of non-essential services. What is going to really suck is what places like Florida are doing where they're re-opening things full blast in the next 2 weeks without check. Florida is starting to re-open beaches this Friday at 5:00 pm and the governor has stated he wants to no restrictions on crowds. That's completely asinine.
  2. I guarantee you between May 15 - 20 a large swath of this country is going to be in the process of opening back up. Come Memorial Day, you'll see crowded beaches and people clamoring to get back into bars, etc. We'll forget this even happened by July.
  3. Asking people not to be selfish or adapt to a short term change in their lives is apparently akin to tyranny.
  4. Sorry, this thread is moving fast and I'm running on 5 hours of sleep.
  5. Gov. hogan presser at 2:30 pm today RE: schools.
  6. We live in the stupidest, most selfish country in the world.
  7. We live in such a feckless society in this country. We've had a few weeks of shifts in how we operate and people are losing their minds. There haven't been runs on banks, we aren't out of food, water or electricity and society hasn't collapsed. We're being asked to be nice to the vulnerable parts of our community and yet people acting like they're in a communist block country. Just look at what's going on in Michigan and Ohio. Folks think this is bad, imagine what a virus or bacteria with a mortality rate of something like 10% to 15% would be like.
  8. We're about to enter the "we overreacted" phase from the political talking heads that always talk out their a$$.
  9. Correct. There are some folks out there who think they can accept COVID patients and that's really not the point of them. To be clear, I wasn't insinuating anyone on this board thought they should be used for COVID patients.
  10. The hospital ships are designed for trauma injuries in battle. They aren't designed intrinsically for clinical cases such a COVID et al. It's true they can be used for offloading some of the daily hospital burden on a city like LA or NYC, but utilizing these ships presents layers of logistical challenges such as ferrying patients, extra patient tracking between the civilian and military sector.
  11. The other issue is culture. Places like India, Japan, etc. it's normal to wear a mask if you're sick and have places like train stations thoroughly cleaned each night. Their society doesn't whine like an immature child when they have to modify their movement for a few weeks during a public health event.
  12. My friend in PA is an x-ray tech who was furloughed through June 1. He works in outpatient and doesn't have the training to support the ER yet since he's only been there about 6 months. What Phin said is true, but it's a stretch if anything thinks it's widespread.
  13. Some hospitals are temporarily furloughing staff in their outpatient clinics who are not qualified to support ER or specialty COVID operations. It's isolated to mainly rural hospitals locations that don't have a specialty (IE: trauma, stroke, etc.)
  14. Annapolis has been working very well with the counties thus far. It's a damn sight better than what's happening between DC and everyone else. The plan is to open things up with a dimmer and pauses in between to seen what acts as a vector. I can tell you right now that mass transit is going to be tough because all of the GIS and public health community tracing data is pointing to that as an incredibly efficient vector for COVID19.
  15. No that is not what I said at all. Please do not puts words in my mouth.
  16. Given the discordant leadership by the governors in those states, it is certainly plausible to see these states have higher secondary spikes when things open up compared to the rest of the country. To say I'm call for "hundreds of thousands of deaths" is a dubious assertion. Our healthcare system is taxed and unfair to the consumer so if you go into the hospital and survive you're stuck paying off medical bills for awhile and don't have expendable income to participate in our consumer based economy.
  17. Florida, Oklahoma and South Dakota say hi.
  18. The Carroll County tornado makes it the 2nd tornado in that watch box and verifies the watch box. IMO, while the SPC SWODY2 & SWODY1 have been pretty iffy in the Mid Atlantic of late, their watch boxes have gotten really good.
  19. You'd think that gov IT would learn about server capacity by now. Whatever your estimate is, just double it.
  20. RE: Stimulus check status website https://www.cbsnews.com/news/stimulus-checks-tracking-website-live-today-2020-04-15/
  21. Couple of thoughts about this past event. These are my own casual observations, feel free to add/subtract/disagree. 1.) Severe weather events are messy here 9.9 times out of 10. We usually bust on the low side of things. No matter how animated the meso models are leading up to an event, always remain skeptical and rely on the nowcasting stuff the morning of to determine where everything is lining up. 2.) The warm front will struggle to push north of I-66 the night before the event. It seems that no matter what happens, warm fronts tend to settle out between I-66 and the Potomac and not make much progress until around late morning or lunch. The longer northward progression is delayed, the lower the chances of a middle to high end event. 3.) Big dynamics with okay instability beats great instability over meh dynamics. The February event and this past event on April 13th show that it doesn't take much surface based instability to get things going if upstairs is rocking. 4.) Sub 1000mb lows just to our NW don't go quietly into the night (Credit: @Rainshadow). The June, 2013 event, the Feb 2020 event and the April 13th event reinforce my thoughts on #3.
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