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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    That's Level II on the Eskimo Joe Snow Pyramid of Success™.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Haven't seen anything but I would imagine that if things bust colder for the first event it would help reinforce the colder air for wave #2.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Ah, so big bust potential then. Classic. Here's to snow
  4. Eskimo Joe
    I've learned to set my expectations low here over the past 3 years.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    On the 12z Euro, it appears that H5 is a bit flatter out ahead of the system than it's 00z counterpart. Would be nice to score two solid advisory level events next week.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Thanks. Here's to
  7. Eskimo Joe
    So EMT class has sucked me into a black hole. Are there 2 threats for next week...Monday and Thursday?
  8. Eskimo Joe
    I'd prefer P29.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Credit @paulythegun
  10. Eskimo Joe
  11. Eskimo Joe
    It's not out of the realm of possibility that we squeak out a quick cartopper from the weekend event. I would put the odds at 1 in 5 right now.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    For those wondering about the cold, the end of the 18z OP GFS has DC not getting out of the upper 20s on Inauguration Day. Sub zero air in Canada and the Great Lakes.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    He thinks this is a quick snow to rain for everyone, but admits it's several days off. From my conservations with Wes over the years, he's generally pessimistic about potential snow events in La Nina winters in these parts.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Wes isn't enthused by the 12z OP euro.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    WRT to 12z EPS, the mean/individual members are not as wound up as the OP. It would argue all snow for everyone north of St. Mary's city. Hope we see the GFS start to catch on.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Notice how the Pacific ridge is actually here, we almost get some cross polar flow here so temps won't be an issue with any storm that we get.
  17. Eskimo Joe
  18. Eskimo Joe
    6 days out, everything has shift NW with time this winter. Lets see what the Euro has at 12z.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    No. Next question.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. Standard caveat is that folks should always have low expectations going into this and be happy with what we get. To see this in a La Nina pattern is pretty amazing.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    12z EPS sets up decent western ridge and maintains the stout -NAO. Cross polar flow tries to show up around Jan 16th. This is a signal that has existed for the past 24 hours:
  22. Eskimo Joe
    *ahem* I'll have you know I'm on the southern end of Jackpotville™.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    EPS sets up cross polar flow and a western ridge towards the end of the run. To have it show up on the ensembles and not some rogue OP run is important and boost confidence in this solution:
  24. Eskimo Joe
    meso models starting to really ping an advisory level snow event Sunday for I-70 north and US15 west.
  25. Eskimo Joe
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