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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Life in the DMV.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    NAMs would imply some frozen drizzle, light ZR in the evening on top of everything. I have my EMT test Thursday night so I'm hoping things trend worse so it can get knocked back to next Tuesday.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Through HR54, the NAM definitely is better for I-95. Eventual flip to IP/ZR for DCA, but it's good to see more frozen.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    It appears the past 3 runs of the NAM have progressively, but slowly weakened the southerly winds at 700 mb, which would be a trend to the GFS.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    We've seen a drying and deamplification trend as we close in on events this year. Wonder if that happens this time.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Damn impressive
  7. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC, the SREFs have some of the NAM-esque members in there so if the NAM trends one way don't the SREFs follow to a degree? Can anyone confirm that? @ers-wxman1, @WxUSAF, @csnavywx?
  8. Eskimo Joe
    GFS is obviously right because it has some semblance of a DC Snow Hole™.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    By HR84 on the 18z GFS, 00z Friday, the surface low is in interior South Carolina and the 700mb temps are still below freezing from EZF to the Bay Bridge. Much colder than the 00z, 06z, and 12z runs from today.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Yup, it's colder at 850 across the entire area even back through Erie (-10 now versus -7 previous run) and up through Philly. Good to see.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Damn
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Nice
  13. Eskimo Joe
    FYI, MD 94 is being closed down at the Howard/Montgomery County border due to icing conditions and trees coming down.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    12z sounding from IAD shows a pocket of dry air aloft.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    25/14 in Reisterstown
  16. Eskimo Joe
    My deepest sympathies to you during this trying time.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    NAM is an ice palace. Nice.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    LWX extends the Winter Weather Advisory for Mason Dixon: https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=54220340
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. Plus the low is still south of us so no erosion of 925 or surface temps.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Warning text for CHO mentions IP, which would indicate LWX doesn't have as much confidence right now for a straight freezing rain event.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    This is typical for a La Nina event.
  22. Eskimo Joe
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Curious to see if this is the start of a trend that might reveal itself more on the 18z guidance, or if the Euro is out to lunch again.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Euro would be problematic for utility companies and DOT/fire departments.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Off an on flurries, even a period of TV Snow™ earlier this afternoon in Reisterstown. We got a solid snow pack and it doesn't seem like it'll go anywhere over the next week. Very nice.
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