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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC, the SREFs have some of the NAM-esque members in there so if the NAM trends one way don't the SREFs follow to a degree? Can anyone confirm that? @ers-wxman1, @WxUSAF, @csnavywx?
  2. Eskimo Joe
    GFS is obviously right because it has some semblance of a DC Snow Hole™.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    By HR84 on the 18z GFS, 00z Friday, the surface low is in interior South Carolina and the 700mb temps are still below freezing from EZF to the Bay Bridge. Much colder than the 00z, 06z, and 12z runs from today.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Yup, it's colder at 850 across the entire area even back through Erie (-10 now versus -7 previous run) and up through Philly. Good to see.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Damn
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Nice
  7. Eskimo Joe
    FYI, MD 94 is being closed down at the Howard/Montgomery County border due to icing conditions and trees coming down.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    12z sounding from IAD shows a pocket of dry air aloft.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    25/14 in Reisterstown
  10. Eskimo Joe
    My deepest sympathies to you during this trying time.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    NAM is an ice palace. Nice.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    LWX extends the Winter Weather Advisory for Mason Dixon: https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=54220340
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. Plus the low is still south of us so no erosion of 925 or surface temps.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Warning text for CHO mentions IP, which would indicate LWX doesn't have as much confidence right now for a straight freezing rain event.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    This is typical for a La Nina event.
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Curious to see if this is the start of a trend that might reveal itself more on the 18z guidance, or if the Euro is out to lunch again.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Euro would be problematic for utility companies and DOT/fire departments.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Off an on flurries, even a period of TV Snow™ earlier this afternoon in Reisterstown. We got a solid snow pack and it doesn't seem like it'll go anywhere over the next week. Very nice.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    For reference, here is the winter storm / ice storm warning criteria from LWX:
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Ah yes, light ZR at night.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. Icing is an uneven distribution, and frankly 0.2" zr at 27 degrees is worse than a driving rain at 31 degrees.
  23. Eskimo Joe
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Just got out of EMT class. A couple.of snowflakes in Westminster off Kate Wagner Rd.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    LWXs watch lines up with WPCs icing area nicely:
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