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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Watch this be the summer everyone struggles to hit 95°.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    ^Wonder what make and model that wx station is
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Yea when those two cells were maintaining updrafts in an area of limited instability, you knew that was going to be a sign someone was going to win.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    If you re-rack the radar data from yesterday, it all started with those two cells in Cumberland that rode an outflow boundary out of Frederick.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Yea it definitely was a sneaky day. We get these events where it looks pretty benign and then you get a lone cell or three that would end up verifying a slight risk and a WW. Other times, it's a textbook setup and the entire subforum whiffs.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    M56mph at our EOC wx station in Gaithersburg.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    ML Lapse rates are poop and the shear is really lacking. This is isolated wet microburst / flooding.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Flash Flood Watch until 10 pm from Carroll west along the Mason-Dixon.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Don't hold your breath.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    14 box in baltimore county for several vehicles in flood waters....Ruxton Rd at Circle Rd.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Unusually deep, rolling thunder and a lot of rogue CG in Reisterstown. Our younger cat is growling like a chain saw.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    RE: Ellicott City From the LWX hydro guru:
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Sustained convection east of I-81 will probably be sparse through 4pm. Despite the ConvT being reached the shear is minimal so it's going to be hard to sustain the updrafts.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    12z balloon from IAD has a Convective Temp of 87°
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Given strong insoltation and decent LL but weak ML lapse rates, there definitely is a wet microburst potential today.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Thanks. We tried the launch spot at Prettyboy this weekend and it was absolutely dead. I've head good things about the Beckleysville Rd bridge so we're going to check it out Saturday.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Anybody fish Prettyboy Reservoir that know if any halfway decent shore fishing spots?
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Maine has stolen all our heat. Another day in the L 90s there...I need to get up there again.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Naw...half assed cut off low city.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    LR GFS and Euro are terrible if you like summer.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Had a hot minute of rain last night and some drizzle around sunrise. Looks like some sun later today?
  23. Eskimo Joe
    @wxdude64 is living prrof about what @usedtobe always says about cutoff lows and QPF maxima: they are always too far NE in the numerical guidance.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    LWX radar showing a decent uptick in returns between I-64 and I-66. Lower S. MD and NOVA should be good for rain. Noth of there...naso much.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    This time last week, the GFS was pushing almost 10" of rain on Baltimore and now it's looking like Charm City will be lucky to see 1/10th of that. If this were winter, this board would be melting down.
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