Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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This is not hot weather. No big heat advisories, etc. locally.
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2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2021 Mid-Atlantic Garden, Lawn, and Other Green Stuff Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to mattie g's topic in Mid Atlantic
Garden I built in spring is on fire finally.
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Eating hot pot in Ellicott City and storms are blowing up to my west. You're welcome.
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SPC mesoanalysis shows a good bit of MLCAPE, low level lapse rates and maybe event a hint of a lee trough. Shear and mid level lapse rates are pretty terrible thought so the conditional wet microburst looks to be about it for today's risk.
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It's a whole other climo up there. Love it.
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Might see a TOR for the Berkeley Springs, WV area. Southernmost cell is looking kinda kidney bean shaped and velocity isnt terrible.
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2021 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
For those of your running a home installation of GR radar, here is a great placefile from CIMMS that works to show near real time probability of a storm pushing severe limits: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/severe_conv/NOAACIMSS_PROBSEVERE Screenshot of it in action:
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2021 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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If this were winter, Ji would be screaming.
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The worst part is that it's gonna rake New England. Oy.
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Watching this slide just east of us is utterly maddening.
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Looks like that heavy rain from Mason-Dixon on north wasn't picked up by any of the short term guidance.
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Tornado Watch coming out for lower Maryland and parts of Delmarva. You can see why...on SPC meso analysis shows decent non-supercell tornado risk. You can find this on the mesoanalysis page under 'Composite Indices' then click on the 8th option.
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Unless I'm misreading the METAR, CHO appears to have gusted to 44 mph with that leading band.
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Nice rogue cell near the Charles/Prince Georges County border.
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Outside of a lucky few who have elevation, we really don't do well with winter here anymore.
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This is totally not a weenie post, but so far there's some decent stuff firing over the I-81 corridor and there's several tornado warnings in NE North Carolina. I wonder if the western edge of the precip shield ends up being a tad further west and more robust than what the globals are showing.
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Some of the meso/hurricane guidance still depicts a favorable setup for quick spin up tornadoes across Delmarva and lower Southern Maryland tonight.
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Next week, big ole' 594dm ridge sets up. Yes please.
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12z Fri, 995mb off ACY.
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Through HR24, the 12z Euro appears to be west of it's 00z run. Next frame we'll know for sure.
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NHC issues Tropical Storm Watch for: Calvert, Caroline, Dorchester, Inland Worcester, Maryland Beaches, Queen Anne's, Somerset, St. Mary's, Talbot, Wicomico.
