Eskimo Joe

There we go:

Given the amount of DCAPE and strong sunshine today, I'm surprise we aren't in a DY1 slight risk. There's another kicker working through the region this afternoon and it might yield similar results to yesterday.

He says a lot of things.

If there's good DCAPE and a kicker we seem to jackpot here. It almost can compensate for the lack of shear and mid level lapse rates.

I think we can stick a fork in TD six...between the mountains and that upper level low in Florida, it looks like a turd.

FWIW, it appears that Raven Rock aka Site R now has an ASOS. Station ID: KXIF

ASCAT data, though showing a sharp cutoff and increasing organization, doesn't show much in the way TS-force wind barbs over a significant area. There isn't much of a threat of storm force impacts at moment of genesis unless the winds increase here. They are likely just being patient as they have more liberty/luxury to do so versus say a situation like Elsa earlier this season that immediately had TS force upon genesis. That being said, we may still yet see PTC advisories go up by 5 AST. Good copy, thanks.

Western Maryland (Garrett, Allegheny, Washington counties) don't fare as well as other places with your classic Miller A nor'easter. IMO, if you are looking for a good spot to get a nor'easter, check out the Catoctin Mts. in Frederick County. Some places to look to are: Braddock Heights, Myersville, Wolksville, Sabillasville, Catoctin Furnace. You can easily get a cheap piece of property above 1,000 to 1,200 feet and there's a lot to do nearby outside of snow season.

Perhaps a met could answer this question, but why hasn't this been designated as a Potential Tropical Cyclone yet? I've seen worse things than this get that designation.

600dm or bust

Parts of the area are drier than Death Valley. We may never recover from this:

From the Volvo dealership in Bensalem, PA today:

I'm by the WMPT TV tower.

Looks like a large tornado confirmed just north of Philly. Tornado watch was certainly warranted.

Nice, that's across from Camp Fretterd? Like 2 miles from my house.

NBC4 has tress down across I-95 in EZF. Traffic stopped.

M1.75" hail EZF per LWX LSR

BWI M62 mph wind.

NBC4 had a DOT cam from I-95 near EZF that showed hail on I-95 and traffic stopped.

Looks like the Stafford cell cut the inflow off and decapitated things up here.

Hail spike on the Stafford storm and a solid elevated core. Could see some respectable hail reports from that.

Heads up stafford, VA. Solid looking couplet trying to develop.

Heads up BWI airport wow.

For our WV folks:

LWX will be launching a special 18z sounding.