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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    On tropical tidbits, am I missing something, or is the 12z Euro just shearing Henri apart by HR72 apart to nothing and kicking it well out to sea?
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Decent spike in lightning. Looks like the cell might be starting to interact with a bit of bay influence or possible sense the warm front that's draped across NE MD.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the afternoon activity may be trying to form in the WV Panhandle. Sun's out pretty good in Gaithersburg...definitely has a deep tropical feel to it.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    That's the best looking cell of the day in these parts.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    I am consistently amazed at how we struggle to get anything interesting in these parts anymore. We just succeed at failure. Remnants come through and it just fizzles out.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Latest SPC meso analysis update has a supercell composite of 8 along the I-270 corridor up into Gettysburg.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    You should call yourself NPZ East
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Cell just south of Haymarket putting down some CG now. Looks like it might be trying to get rooted in some of the surface instability.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Some of the 12z GEFS members pull Henri into Cape May/Atlantic City. OP GFS is loltastic.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. With clearing behind that, there is a window for a 2nd scattered line behind that before everything sweeps through.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Oh lawd the GFS. I know it's an OP run, etc. But holy lol.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Watch coming out. Until 8:00 pm. Include Kent and Queen Anne's on the eastern shore.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Sounds like a red box coming per the latest meso. Should be coming up on SPC homepage shortly. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1551.html
  14. Eskimo Joe
    It's a machine learning account that pulls from the short term meso guidance. Still an uncalibrated account but something worth peeking at, IMO.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    I-83 jackpot
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Cell near orange is starting to put CG down and getting a bit of a kidney bean look.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Everyone pour one out for the SPC servers that are getting killed by all the weenies hitting F5 on their keyboards.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Pretty early to be meso'd, but yesterday there were confirmed tornadoes from showers that produced almost no lightning. Looks like our chance for local tor/spinnies is the activity that's currently south of I-64.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Inb4 he says a tornado blew all his rain away.
  20. Eskimo Joe
  21. Eskimo Joe
    NAM, HRRR, RAP all seem to have several discrete cells push through tomorrow during prime heating.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like it wants to start pouring along the I-83 corridor got some decent towers going up to my east.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the warm sector with Fred's remnants is producing. Already two reported tornados and the supercell composite along the GA/SC border is pushing 8.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Big breaks in the clouds now in Reisterstown. Actually seeing thinning of the mid level cloud deck.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like a possible training event setting up over Baltimore City into Towson and then east to White Marsh. I gotta give credit to LWX, they've been money on these flash flood watches of late.
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