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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Naw. It's an early season event and I'm expecting mixing at my house. You're all looking pretty good in Central PA. We're in the Euro's wheelhouse now and it's still solid. If this holds through 00z Monday runs we are probably good.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    It's times like this that I'm glad I live above 600 feet in elevation. This. Wouldn't be shocked to see some last minute bump one way or the other Tuesday morning once the Monday event clears.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    ICON appears to be a big hit for @HighStakes, @losetoa6, @psuhoffman, and @mappy, highly elevation dependent.
  4. Eskimo Joe
  5. Eskimo Joe
    ARW...Always Really Wet NMM...Not Much Moisture
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Yea. As I was saying in the mid/long range thread in the MA forum, even at this time last year it was painfully clear that we were staring down the barrel of a shut out through mid January.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    I've been burned too many times outside of Jan/early Feb. I'm only expecting for an inch or two down here in NW Baltimore County and hope that we boom. It would be reallly nice to see something like 3" - 5" on the Christmas decorations.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Standard caveats apply here: we're HR100+, it's early season, etc. But y'all are looking good.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    WRT to the 12/16 system, it appears that all 18z Euro ensembles are all snow for the CTP CWA.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Only 1 member of the 18z GEFS is rain NW of I-95. Everything else is frozen, another colder tick.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    12z op Euro cooks up another storm in the 12/18 timeframe, tries to get another around 12/24.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    I vote no storm thread until at least 12z Monday.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Per the 12z op Euro, everybody wins on the 12/16 storm. Take any snowmap and cut the amounts in half.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    12zz euro isn't terrible it seems if you're along or NW of I-95.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    HR129 the coastal is taking over so that should stop any southerly winds.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    12z OP Euro @ HR120, much stronger CAD signature. Looks like it's also colder in Quebec so the source region is decent. At the very least, this is not a step back. Not focusing on the surface right now, I'm looking at 500/850.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yea. At the least, it's not a step back from 00z.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    So far, the 12z Euro looks better for the 12/16 event at 500mb. Better confluence, and western ridge.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Upper carroll county/baltimore county folks probably score a slushy inch or two on Monday per the 12z Euro. Catoctins look good too.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    High in Canada looks better placed through HR78. That would put it in a better place for the 12/16 event it seems.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    I'm on instantweathermaps, HR48 on the 12z op Euro and the western ridge appears a bit sharper.
  22. Eskimo Joe
  23. Eskimo Joe
  24. Eskimo Joe
    I'm not more interested to see if the Euro gives the Canadian high a better position and kills the Ohio Valley low faster. That's all I want to see.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    12/5/02 storm summary for those wondering: http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/05-Dec-02.html
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