Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Per James Spann, BMX is not going to transfer operations to WFO in Atlanta.
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Storm near Jacksonville, AL trying to spin more now. Wouldn't shock me to see a TOR on it shortly.
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Consistent CG near the core of the storm. Things definitely starting to kick off.
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Debris signature really picking up now.
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Possible debris ball just north of West Blocton, AL.
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TVS on the BMX radar for the storm approaching the metro.
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Storm near Wellington, AL is trying to spin as well.
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CG picking up again...it's trying.
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The ell near Fosters, AL is trying to get going. You can already see the kidney bean shape on radar.
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Another cell trying to start up near Epes, AL. It's by itself too.
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Yea it's not likely we break out today across the board, especially with a high/mid level cloud deck streaming in.
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2021 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
IMO, seems like whenever we get these robust Dixie / Carolina Alley events, something usually slips up into NOVA and surprises everyone. -
SPC mesoanalysis have a Supercell Composite of close to 20 across parts of southern MS and another maximum in western AL. Pretty impressive and the visible satellite is showing a decent amount of clearing.
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SPC protocol dictates that any watch box issued inside a High Risk, whether tornado or severe thunderstorm, area is automatically a PDS.
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Meso floater for today: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
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Could go w/ a 45% on the afternoon update if observations start to line up with forecasts.
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A warm rain in the mid to upper 50s should wake the lawns up.
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Stop posting facts. You'll scare off the danger noodles.
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The lack of an EML adds credence to this possibility.
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First big test for the new GFS on the severe weather side of things.
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2021 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2021 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yea this time of year, we need a bit of a negative tilt and more robust southerly winds to really scour out the low level wedge. Once we get into late April it's not that big of a deal.
