Jump to content

Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    20,889

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Wouldn't be worth your time. the 06 and 18z Euro only go out to HR 144 on the ENS and it wouldn't show a picture of the entire storm.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    What's important is that it's a closed 500mb low to so this thing won't be blasting through like a rocket.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Yea I noticed that. The 500 heights were a bit better across Idaho as the energy transversed the midwest. That's big. It the west coast ridge starts washing out then our goose is cooked. So far I don't see that happening.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    If I had to be critical, I'd like to see the western ridge be further displayed to the west and the primary low close off at 500mb a few hours earlier and go a bit more negative.
  5. Eskimo Joe
  6. Eskimo Joe
    I'd be feeling decent between I-66 and PA Route 30 for a warning level event right now. Set your expectations low since this is a Miller B in a La Nina.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    The 500mb progression on the 18z Euro is textbook for a warning level event at DCA, IAD, and BWI.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Western ridge is sharper on the 18z Euro through HR 90. A good sign.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    East of I-95 would've busted low had the CCB not been so beefy. I remember the justified gnashing of teeth for the Annapolis and St. Mary's crew on Saturday when the sun was poking out while the usual crew was jackpotting.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    We've had the rug pulled out from under us so many times that it's wise to under forecast snow. Especially outside of the mountains.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    GFS is a step in the right direction both aloft and at the surface. Nothing earth shattering but it's good to see.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    18z ICON has snow starting early afternoon Sunday.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    10 years ago today:
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Yea that's a big thing to watch. We want the primary up into Kentucky, then die off and quickly transfer energy to the coast.
  15. Eskimo Joe
  16. Eskimo Joe
    My baseline is 6" - 10" for this event. If we get somewhere in there, cool. Anything more is gravy. The past 4 years have been poo and having it fall on a weekend would be great.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    I'm just trying to not get suckered in.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    I'd say by then we're going to have a good idea whether this thing is fading or possibly one for the record books. Hopefully by Saturday we're still looking at 15"+
  19. Eskimo Joe
    IMO, 12z Saturday runs
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Yea that's a big plus.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Yea. Beyond D3, focus on mid/upper levels.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    No reasonable person in this subforum would balk at at the 12z EPS mean. Everyone wins. We all know the northern crew would somehow find a way to push 15" too.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    12z EPS at HR 144. I'd like to see that closed 500 low a bit further SW into Kentucky. That's about as far north as I like to see.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    EPS is nice!
  25. Eskimo Joe
    During big captures or transfers the coastal low linger for a bit.
×
×
  • Create New...