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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. With clearing behind that, there is a window for a 2nd scattered line behind that before everything sweeps through.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Oh lawd the GFS. I know it's an OP run, etc. But holy lol.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Watch coming out. Until 8:00 pm. Include Kent and Queen Anne's on the eastern shore.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Sounds like a red box coming per the latest meso. Should be coming up on SPC homepage shortly. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1551.html
  5. Eskimo Joe
    It's a machine learning account that pulls from the short term meso guidance. Still an uncalibrated account but something worth peeking at, IMO.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    I-83 jackpot
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Cell near orange is starting to put CG down and getting a bit of a kidney bean look.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Everyone pour one out for the SPC servers that are getting killed by all the weenies hitting F5 on their keyboards.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Pretty early to be meso'd, but yesterday there were confirmed tornadoes from showers that produced almost no lightning. Looks like our chance for local tor/spinnies is the activity that's currently south of I-64.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Inb4 he says a tornado blew all his rain away.
  11. Eskimo Joe
  12. Eskimo Joe
    NAM, HRRR, RAP all seem to have several discrete cells push through tomorrow during prime heating.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like it wants to start pouring along the I-83 corridor got some decent towers going up to my east.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the warm sector with Fred's remnants is producing. Already two reported tornados and the supercell composite along the GA/SC border is pushing 8.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Big breaks in the clouds now in Reisterstown. Actually seeing thinning of the mid level cloud deck.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like a possible training event setting up over Baltimore City into Towson and then east to White Marsh. I gotta give credit to LWX, they've been money on these flash flood watches of late.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yea last few frames of the visible showing some decent clearing even back to I-81 now. This is being confirmed by some of the ASOS station showing the ceiling jumping up over the past ~30 min.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Flash Flood Watch for coastal bay counties through 6pm this evening. LWX mentioned the convergence zone in causing this in their AFD update.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Visible satellite suggests areas along and east of I-95 could see sun today. Might help destabilize the atmosphere a bit more.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Tomorrow screams surprise severe
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Not banter so not putting it there, but former TWC met dead:
  22. Eskimo Joe
    M0.59" Reisterstown. I'm right by the PBS station off Owings Mills Blvd.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Frederick County, MD about to get flooded out.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    If you want a quick setup, I recommend the Tempest from WxFlow
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like 12z Euro brings the 850 low with Fred through HGR. Would be a Wednesday afternoon to evening issue, actually looks like the brunt of the remnants come through during prime heating.
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