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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Seems like there may be some local boundary setting up. Ft. Belvoir (KDAA), DCA, and College Park (KCGS) all have SE winds, while everything else is W or SW winds. Wonder if that plays into anything later.
  2. SPC issues Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 01:00 UTC.
  3. Despite decent downdraft CAPE, low level lapse rates, and respectable shear, the CAMS still really unenthused with any real beefy storms today.
  4. Wow that sounds terrible. Nothing worse than overcast and mid 60s at the beach.
  5. I can't stay up past 9pm anymore, unless I'm at work. Enjoy y'all!
  6. I could see that segment getting an SVR on it. Velocities on IAD/DCA terminals aren't terrible.
  7. I'll give credit to the HRRR, it was consistent with this 2nd line and did place a UHI track across S. MD for the past few runs.
  8. TOR being issued for PG/Calvert. WISC CIMMS probs jumped to 17% chance of TOR on that.
  9. Okay this is my fault. Cached version of website didn't update. See it now. Deleted my post.
  10. SPC mesoanalysis shows belt of 40-60kt shear from I-66 down to CHO coinciding with SBCAPE recovering. Wouldn't shock me if we get a lower end severe thunderstorm watch later today. I'm back up to 71 degrees again at home so we are recovering this airmass somewhat even up in Baltimore.
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