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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like a 2nd bowing segment working across southern Frederick County, MD.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Vivid lightning, decent rain but very little wind in New Windsor.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Just down the road at New Windsor, weird looking sky. Deep orange, but the clouds are this slate blue.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    TOR northern Carroll
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Experimental CIMMS has 54% TOR probabilities on it.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Uptick in CG on the Martinsburg cell. CIMMS experimental probability has ~25% TOR risk, ~25% Damaging Wind risk. LWX certainly justified in keeping the SVR on it at least. Wouldn't surprise me to see a new SVR shortly with a "tornado possible" tag on it.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Yea. Looks like two big cells, one just north of Winchester, VA and the other just NW of New Market, VA.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Cell near Capon Bridge, WV has a SVR on it. Looks like it might be trying to get a notch forming.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the crapvection racing ahead of the main line is going to use up any instability. Hope we can pull this one out because it was looking good for a time, but it always seems to be something in these parts.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    looks like upper delmarva into Philly: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0089.html
  11. Eskimo Joe
    New Severe Thunderstorm Watch dropping for Delmarva until late this evening.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Very, very carefully.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Impressive
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Andrews AFB non-tstm wnd gst of M58mph. Impressive.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    TOR Allegany County, MD
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Decent line segment forming in Garrett County. Might be the main show for those north of I-70.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Tornado Watch until 00:00 UTC. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0088.html
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Yea it's not too shabby. Shaping up to be a solid SLGT, low end ENH kind of day. If we can just get an hour or two of sun.....
  19. Eskimo Joe
  20. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 02:00 UTC
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Another couplet just SE of Amelia Court House.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like a bit of a CC drop just NE of Midlothian, VA.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like that's a whole cluster trying to spin up. Another notch SW of RIC worth watching.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like may two possible areas of rotation on that warning near RIC? OU CIMMS placefile has experimental TOR probability at 61% damn.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    @yoda @Kmlwx latest SPC meso analysis has better 0-1 SRM helicity. Maybe we do get a tornado watch this afternoon?
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