Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Give me 4 to 6 inches of sleet on snow and we're gonna keep a snowpack for awhile.
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Get the 500 low centered over the NC lowlands and we're golden.
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Check out the winds at 850 mb...screaming from the SE. That will erode cold air no problem.
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06z EPS mean snowfall would bring DCA to near full climo for yearly snowfall.
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06z GEFS were nice. I'd buy in a heartbeat. Distinct east shift.
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Only 1 miss on the EPS, almost everything else is warning criteria snow/sleet I-95 west it seems.
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There are a ton of big hits from I-95 west on the 18z EPS.
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With respect to potential coastline impacts, not frozen precip. Should have clarified.
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18z GFS hammers coastal areas...would be some respectable impacts from that along Delmarva.
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18z Euro appears faster
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IMO, inside 72 to 84 hr their worth is diminished.
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He came to LWX from Elko.
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Confluence looks more robust and the antecedent high pressure looks better positioned.
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Good trends on the GFS so far.
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Ray still works for LWX. Solid forecaster. His site gets me through those hot winter rain storms.
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The 18z NAM appears to be a step in the right direction at 500.
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That week weenies from DCA to PHL pulled triple 7s on weather slot machine several times.
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Camp David (KRSP) METAR: https://aviationweather.gov/adds/tafs/?station_ids=KRSP&std_trans=translated&submit_both=Get+TAFs+and+METARs Site R (XIF) METAR: https://aviationweather.gov/adds/tafs/?station_ids=XIF&std_trans=translated&submit_both=Get+TAFs+and+METARs
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Yup. Between 1,000 - 1,800 ASL. Camp David ASOS is ~1,900 ASOS and Site R is ~900. Those two ASOS's are good for discerning minute warm/dry layers during events.
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There's the money track. Give me that all day.
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You gotta get a house in Sabillasville my friend.
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highs are now trending warmer post storm...possibly low 40s MLK day and Tuesday. There doesn't seem to be some big post storm discharge of cold air.
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Man, the things I'd do for a last minute trend east to keep everyone west of the bay as some form of frozen.
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Wonder if we see this thing trend a bit weaker as we near and maybe not as wound up? Would mean a further east trend. It's happened before. I know @Ellinwood talks about satellite ingestion of data has improved D5+ scores, but a weenie can hope.
