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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Filling in at Sykesville Fire Department today and we have a decent cell firing off to the west of us.
  2. Heat index of 101 in the shade per the home weather station.
  3. Ug, no unless it means storms.
  4. This is not hot weather. No big heat advisories, etc. locally.
  5. Eating hot pot in Ellicott City and storms are blowing up to my west. You're welcome.
  6. SPC mesoanalysis shows a good bit of MLCAPE, low level lapse rates and maybe event a hint of a lee trough. Shear and mid level lapse rates are pretty terrible thought so the conditional wet microburst looks to be about it for today's risk.
  7. It's a whole other climo up there. Love it.
  8. Might see a TOR for the Berkeley Springs, WV area. Southernmost cell is looking kinda kidney bean shaped and velocity isnt terrible.
  9. For those of your running a home installation of GR radar, here is a great placefile from CIMMS that works to show near real time probability of a storm pushing severe limits: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/severe_conv/NOAACIMSS_PROBSEVERE Screenshot of it in action:
  10. If this were winter, Ji would be screaming.
  11. The worst part is that it's gonna rake New England. Oy.
  12. Watching this slide just east of us is utterly maddening.
  13. Looks like that heavy rain from Mason-Dixon on north wasn't picked up by any of the short term guidance.
  14. Tornado Watch coming out for lower Maryland and parts of Delmarva. You can see why...on SPC meso analysis shows decent non-supercell tornado risk. You can find this on the mesoanalysis page under 'Composite Indices' then click on the 8th option.
  15. Unless I'm misreading the METAR, CHO appears to have gusted to 44 mph with that leading band.
  16. Nice rogue cell near the Charles/Prince Georges County border.
  17. Outside of a lucky few who have elevation, we really don't do well with winter here anymore.
  18. This is totally not a weenie post, but so far there's some decent stuff firing over the I-81 corridor and there's several tornado warnings in NE North Carolina. I wonder if the western edge of the precip shield ends up being a tad further west and more robust than what the globals are showing.
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