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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
  2. Eskimo Joe
  3. Eskimo Joe
  4. Eskimo Joe
    It's good to be clear eyed in this part of the country. We have so many small scale features that can disrupt things.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Read LWX AFD again regarding CAMS. They'll shift 1,000 times through noon tomorrow and it'll drive you insane. If we're socked in at 11am tomorrow, then we'll know to just shrug the event off as another L.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    I've learned to accept the SVR and Winter climo of the area.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    If we don't get blanketed with debris clouds overnight, I could see SPC nudging the northern portion of the LWX CWA up into Central PA to and ENH risk.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    I'm aware of the drama surrounding it. On the bigger heat days it seems whatever boost that may occur is muted compared to days when you're looking to scrape out a 90.
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  10. Eskimo Joe
    Got to 96 in Reisterstown yesterday. For all the gird over BWI's temp sensor, it's not out to lunch.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    There certainly is a risk for some wet microbursts today. Out Total Totals are pushing 50 and the low level lapse rates are pretty robust. Could see a few decent terrain based storms.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Cecil, Harford, and Dorchester counties in Maryland had rogue 500 year floods this week too. It's like the atmosphere just wants to dump rain in small areas and leave everyone else dry.
  13. Eskimo Joe

    Winter 2021-22

    Eskimo Joe replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    Don't forget the angle of the moon. Nothing worse than temps rising at night.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    About what time?
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Yea the EPS and OP GFS is MCS/ climo for sure. Would be nice to bake for a few days, this summer has been too cold, but hey, maybe that's a sign we're gonna have some good blocking setting up this winter?
  16. Eskimo Joe
    600dm or bust
  17. Eskimo Joe
    That actually happens a lot in these parts. In Taneytown the other month 4 acres of cut grass caught on fire because of spontaneous combustion while it lay drying in the field.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    @mappy here comes your storm from Adams County.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    We have solid lapse rates, shear and instability. Even the mid level lapse rates aren't terrible and that's a chronic thing we have going against us in these parts. Don't think it's going to be a lot of aerial coverage, but those who get a storm could get clocked pretty well.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2021/md1323.html I'm kinda of interested about the potential today. EDIT: This has Delmarva jackpot written all over it.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    What a dud of a season.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    You can see the smoke drifting down over Pittsburgh. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Virginia-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  23. Eskimo Joe
    This weather really sucks. We have all winter to be in the 70s, was hoping for some big heat this summer.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Decent microburts signature near Laytonsville and another just SW of Travilah/Gaithersburg.
  25. Eskimo Joe
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