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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Unpopular opinion: The winners in this event are those who get under this band of good snow. Inside that band, you jackpot and push 5" - 9"...outside of that band it's going to be a more general 2"-4" event.
  2. Yes. HREF always seems to underdo snow. The fact that it's painting 4-6" is impressive, standard regional disclaimer about microclimates apply.
  3. The canadian mimics the NAMs intense 700mb frontogenetic forcing all the way up into Long Island.
  4. GFS would be a solid advisory level event for everyone, all the better that it's on a weekend so we can all enjoy it!
  5. NAM and RGEM would imply low end warning criteria snow for everyone east of I-81.
  6. Compare that to Maine, where they had a 56:1 event last night.
  7. Taking a look at the 500mb maps of the 18z GFS, we see sub 500dm heights settle over Pennsylvania just in time for Valentine's Day. Yes please.
  8. I believe @usedtobe or @Ian had a good research article about how cold pooling over Alaska during the depths of winter could mean a big east coast ridge was developing. Not sure who authored it, but I remember reading and the science was pretty sound.
  9. The warm layer and mix line will almost always work more NW that what's forecast. It's one of those tested weather rules in these parts.
  10. Had the WAA snow been as strong as advertised, this storm would have been far less stressful for just about everyone. Even the crew along Aberdeen to Sparrows Point to Annapolis. You need good rates to get it down to the bay.
  11. Good returns building in York and Adams county...heads up Carroll, Baltimore, and Harford counties.
  12. I'll take what the Euro is offering. Please and thank you.
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