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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. 12z sounding from IAD shows a pocket of dry air aloft.
  2. My deepest sympathies to you during this trying time.
  3. LWX extends the Winter Weather Advisory for Mason Dixon: https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=54220340
  4. Yup. Plus the low is still south of us so no erosion of 925 or surface temps.
  5. Warning text for CHO mentions IP, which would indicate LWX doesn't have as much confidence right now for a straight freezing rain event.
  6. This is typical for a La Nina event.
  7. Curious to see if this is the start of a trend that might reveal itself more on the 18z guidance, or if the Euro is out to lunch again.
  8. Euro would be problematic for utility companies and DOT/fire departments.
  9. Off an on flurries, even a period of TV Snow™ earlier this afternoon in Reisterstown. We got a solid snow pack and it doesn't seem like it'll go anywhere over the next week. Very nice.
  10. For reference, here is the winter storm / ice storm warning criteria from LWX:
  11. Yup. Icing is an uneven distribution, and frankly 0.2" zr at 27 degrees is worse than a driving rain at 31 degrees.
  12. Just got out of EMT class. A couple.of snowflakes in Westminster off Kate Wagner Rd.
  13. LWXs watch lines up with WPCs icing area nicely:
  14. From an impact size, Event #1 could be the bigger event. Prolonged, light ZR / icing events can accrete much faster than heavier precip storms because of less latent heat release and faster accumulation on exposed or elevated surfaces. Unless it's in the low 20s, rainfall rates above 0.2"/hour won't convert to ice fast.
  15. LWX nailed their warning extension. Nicely done.
  16. Roads in New Windsor starting to cave. Temp down to 30.
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