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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    The last time the Blue Ridge (and DC/Baltimore for that matter) was under a Blizzard Warning was 6 years ago.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    SPC meso analysis starting to pick up on the good frontogenetic forcing developing over the TN River Valley. There are reports from some mets on Twitter that rates are upwards of 1" - 1.5" under the band in SW TN. A good sign.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    He's out west skiing.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    I don't blame LWX at all for holding with advisories. Too many last minute things can go wrong...always easier to up the ante. 12z RAOB from IAD, RNK, and PBZ will be telling tomorrow am.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    00z NAM appears to remove and potential warm layer at 800mb. Would promote a "clean" transition from rain to snow.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Keep up the BPB @stormtracker doing yeoman's work.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Temp drop tonight will be critical, but I'm becoming more cautiously optimistic at least I-95 and west booms based off the dearth of reliable Twitter posts to our south about the amount of thundersnow and "clean" changeover from rain to snow. Almost no mixing.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Thundersnow being reported in Memphis, TN and a flush transition from rain to snow in Kentucky. Good to see the forecast panning out to our south. This storm is juiced.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    We have one thing going in our favor with this event in that we're seeing fresh artic air being injected into this event and it's not just evaporational cooling trying to overcome a cruddy airmass.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    18z euro implies a low end warning event NW of the cities and the power grid would start to take a beating. Any more snow would be a major impact event.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    We still have 12 hours for something to happen. Maybe the moon angle isn't being modeled right or something.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Likely never will. Too much development next to the highway. The eminent domain costs are insane. 270 should have been 4 lanes across up to I-70 from the start.
  13. Eskimo Joe
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  16. Eskimo Joe
    Growing up in Philly pre-Internet school admins would have a number assigned to their school and then call into a local AM radio station. The radio station would read off the numbers it was like waiting for your lottery numbers:
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Maybe waiting for the ole' 3:30 pm update. Like back in the 90s when you run off the school bus and flip on TWC to see the crawl and the Local on the 8s update praying for a "Winter Storm Warning in effect" text to appear.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    CTP upgraded the Mason-Dixon counties to a warning so maybe LWX does the same for jackpotville?
  19. Eskimo Joe
    It's entirely possible the northern and western suburbs, especially those above say 600, 700 ft elevation, wind up with a truly impactful event.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    LWX has every reason to play this storm conservatively for all of the usual reasons (March, temps chasing precip, etc). That being said, I do agree there is an above average potential for this to "boom" for us and I'm cautiously optimistic about this setup along and west of I-95.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Post those images for those of us who can't see the stuff at work.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    JI isn't happy unless he's unhappy.
  23. Eskimo Joe
  24. Eskimo Joe
    HRRR really showing the influence of terrains. Has a Parrs Ridge and Catoctin Mt jackpot well into warning criteria snowfall. Not expecting much on the roads, but this could be the kind of setup for some places that kills trees and powerlines.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Go snow go. Bring spring in with a bang.
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