Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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TDS in Pike Co near Spurgeon
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NWS Paducah WFO came within yards of getting hit by a tornado. Looks like the City of Paducah is taking a direct hit.
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Classic issue when we have bad mid level lapse rates and dry air at the surface. Storms just can't get above 10,000 feet and the updrafts kick the storms apart.
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Subtle surface boundary (bay breeze?) drifting west through Baltimore. Looks like the Towson and Baltimore City mesonet sites are showing a southeast wind, while everything else if firmly southwest. Might act as a focus for some better storms in a few hours.
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Generic mesoscale discussion out for those south of I-66 / US 50.
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So long as we don't mix out too much we're good for some woo storms.
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FYI, 15z sounding launched by the meteorology department at Millersville University in Lancaster County.
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FYI, 15z sounding from Millersville University just to our northeast in Lancaster.
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Passing along from CTP:
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Good morning everyone, from CTP WFO:
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- 386 replies
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- 5
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- severe
- thunderstorms
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Rare:
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Classic backdoor cold front setup. I'll be in Philly this weekend, so I'm ready for 40 degrees and foggy.
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That's why I'm such a big believer in EMLs. They are vital in overcoming the various mesoscale fail modes.
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The wedge always holds....until it doesn't.
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Wonder if we bake this summer.
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FOLKS! https://v2.weatherscan.net/
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I'm surprised Bittinger beat out Westminster. Wye Mills makes sense to me, that's so wide open there.
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It seems the storms are getting a bit of a boost from the mountains, then immediately dying off once they get on the lee side. With nighttime setting in, any remnant instability will likely wane quickly.
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Looks like I-66 south may be getting a Tornado Watch shortly per latest mesoscale disco.
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That warned cell west of Front Royal looks legit. Seems like it "wants" to maintain itself.
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Line honestly looks paltry right now for some good rains. Would trade the severe threat for the chance of a good half inch of rain.
