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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Tampa Bay area is well zoned for evacuations. They typically don't start before D2. The powers that be know what needs to be done.
  2. IIRC, Ivan in 2004 has more tornadoes in this area than Isaias did.
  3. Today has all the hallmarks of being a sneaky overperformer in the severe wind/hail category. Some impressive wind in LWX radar with that line coming out of WV.
  4. Ian's appearance on satellite looks to be improving.
  5. IMO, better to keep it as a Cat 2 leading up to landfall and up the forecast instead of yanking it back.
  6. Low of 47. Feels great outside today.
  7. Not liking the trends today. Looks like Ian might miss the trough and rot in the gulf.
  8. ^you can see the outflow starting to get established based off the cirrus wisping out to the west and southwest.
  9. Someone on WxTwitter (perhaps it was @Ellinwood or @Ian) had linked to a history of all the "I" storms and their tracks. Can't find it, but it was rather neat.
  10. That's a great infographic. Where did you get this from?
  11. Appears so. 00z hurricane models look promising as well.
  12. Looks like the hurricane models have a second landfall in the Carolinas then bend Ian back into the Mid Altantic.
  13. Agreed. That definitely helps NWP with the mid latitude features that will eventually pick TD9 up and thrust it into the CONUS. Would even go so far as to saw that once this system makes the turn north, we'll probably have a pretty good idea on timing, intensity, and speed.
  14. Very interested to see what the 12z GEFS has to say, especially for inland folks.
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