Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Not a weenie post, genuine intrigue: wonder what, if any impact the warmer than usual ocean water might have on the storm (death band, more juice to work with, etc.).
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Yea that's what I don't get. Some places in this subforum are about to score their biggest storm in close to 3 years and there's still wailing.
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Couple of inches of snow to boot might mean we go below guidance.
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Better ratios north side. Actually looks like colder push helps northern side a bit more because it's a quicker flip. Consensus seems to be advisory level event south of I-70 and sharp increase to warning level for US 50 corridor.
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South of I-70 get accumulating snow. South of I-66 to US 50 gets warning level snow. It's an improvement for these locations. Good luck north of there, at least the Canadian/Euro/GFS have snow north to Mason-Dixon.
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The 18z 3k NAM is actually an improvement from I-66 to US 50 South.
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In Berkeley Springs, WV for this one. All it took for DCA to jackpot was for me to be out of town. Enjoy y'all!
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RGEM is an DCA to Annapolis crush job.
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Looks like a slight disagreement between CTP and LWX on the northern edge.
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Tomer Burg. One of the more reliable Mets on Twitter. Dude knows his stuff.
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To be a fly on the wall at LWX and AKQ right now.
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500 vort on the NAM is definitely looking more neutral and better positioned.
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Always expect mixing and you'll never be let down.
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HRRR gives BWI, DCA, & IAD their first inch of snow. Keep your expectations low.
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Year weird stuff. Maybe some ducting in the Lee of the Appalachains?
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Euro would be the biggest storm for central and Southern Delmarva in like 3 years.
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NAM has basically no surface feature, while GFS/CMC/Euro/HRRR all have a coastal popping.
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Thanks!
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Headed out to Berkley Speings, WV tomorrow through Tuesday. Anyone got a favorite restaurant out there worth recommending?
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Big ones are sniffed out early.
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Chincoteague would be a good chase spot tomorrow for any snow starved weenies.
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12z GFS would imply BWI, DCA, and IAD all get their first measurable snow of the year.
