Would bet that we'll have a much better idea of the storm track over the next 24 hours. All of the players will be either over the upper air network in North America or sampled by the hurricane hunters.
I just got accepted into an emergency management class the week of the 25th that I've been waitlisted for 3 years on. It won't be offered again until autumn 2024. Bank on a hurricane canceling the class.
Naw. Worst case scenario for the Mid Atlantic would be a stalled front for a week that saturates the ground then you get a Cat 2 or 3 into Norfolk that slowly turns right to Philly over the course of two days.
Same here. We've been trying to fertilize and water where we can for a last burst of color to help the pollinators out, but it looks like too little too late.
Looks like the Carroll County storms threw an outflow boundary southward into the southerly flow. Might fire something else off. CAMs will always handle these setups poorly. Almost always a nowcasting thing.