Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
We haven't had a decent regionwide event since the 2012 Derecho.- 2,785 replies
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Central PA Spring 2023
Eskimo Joe replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I made a point of mowing my lawn last Saturday in between the rain. I was fortunate to have a few hours of sun to dry everything out. Had I not done that, I would have been in the same situation as you. -
That must sting for them. The resorts had major problems this winter staying open and now in May it snows.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Garden, Lawn, and Other Green Stuff Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to mattie g's topic in Mid Atlantic
Same goes for pulling ivy out of the ground. -
A bit wimby
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Yea looks like a complete bust for anything else today. This system ended up far more progressive than it was modeled.
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Maybe a warm rainfall process? Doesn't radar underestimate those kind of returns?
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True, but I was hoping for a more widespread stratiform rain all day.
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Radar looks absolutely pathetic.
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Despite a soaker on Friday, my lawn was pretty darn dry when I cut it today. Amazing to see how quick soil moisture gets sucked up when we have full leafout.
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12z HREF out of SPC soaks Delmarva and central PA tomorrow. Tries for a few 6"+ jackpots in those areas.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like we get severe or heavy rain. I'll take the latter. -
2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well said. We have two big players in our favor: 1.) Dynamic neutral to negative tilted low racing to our NW. 2.) Short wave rotating around the base of the low. The dynamics are there, question is whether we can get a few hours of sun to mix things up.- 2,785 replies
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M1.36" Reisterstown
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Meso guidance really starting to up the ante for the Sunday system.
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Looks like some kind of deform band trying to set up. Almost winterlike.
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Latest HRRR shifts all the afternoon and overnight rain east into Delmarva.
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Looks like it. Probably a little vort max rolling up.
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This is mentioned in the latest LWX AFD update. It's very nino-esque!
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I'll bet that winds up verifying further north and east than modeled.
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Short term guidance starting to highlight some beefier totals along the US 29 corridor, somewhere between Laurel and Fairfax. Wonder if there's some kind of low level convergence being picked up by the HRRR/NAM family?
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Got a screencap for those who are mobile?
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18z Sat to 00z Sunday look fairly rain free, but clouds might hang tough up your way.
