Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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GFS with an insane jet at 850. Winds screaming off the ocean like that will warm you up quick no matter what.
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Yea its an ugly op run. No other way to slice it.
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Antecedent high too far east. We need it over Quebec, not Vermont.
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18z OP GFS is a disaster. Hope the ensembles are different. System just winds up too fast.
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Personally, I'm more focused in the evolution at 500/850 and the ensemble mean versus operational. Beyond HR96, you'll just drive yourself crazy focusing on run to run variations of the operational side of things.
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Man, that's a sizeable number of big hits on the 12z EPS.
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Good point @brooklynwx99 how often do you see a closed 500mb low on ensemble guidance at D5/6?
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As long as I stay all frozen through the event I don't care. If that means ZR and IP that's fine. Just a stouter snowpack to keep the cold in.
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How about rain for La Plata and snow for everyone else.
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Yup. Having Walt at Mt. Holly was a treat. When he gets excited, hang onto your hat.
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Aw yes.
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Same thing with MOS guidance revert to climo temps by D6. Folks need to just take things a week at a time and don't wish away decent patterns.
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Eric Webb and Alan Huffman are probably salivating right now.
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Snow and falling temps are great. Cold powder with no temp worries. Deep winter
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12z EPS implies we get snow this weekend. Not everything can be a BECS. Would be an advisory type event. Not terrible.
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Nice to see the ensembles agree with the OP. If the Euro looks anything like the Canadian, we might be on the way to stealing a third event inside 120 hours this winter.
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Adding onto my previous post, if the 12z CMC were to verify, it would bring DCA to near full climo for yearly snowfall.
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12z CMC is nice for the weekend. Solid warning level event, no temp issues.
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Ji volunteers
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Tomer and Tony (WPC met) are getting interested in this weekend's potential
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Euro at 500 starting at HR 150
