Eskimo Joe
-
Posts
20,893 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
-
The 18z NAM appears to be a step in the right direction at 500.
-
That week weenies from DCA to PHL pulled triple 7s on weather slot machine several times.
-
Camp David (KRSP) METAR: https://aviationweather.gov/adds/tafs/?station_ids=KRSP&std_trans=translated&submit_both=Get+TAFs+and+METARs Site R (XIF) METAR: https://aviationweather.gov/adds/tafs/?station_ids=XIF&std_trans=translated&submit_both=Get+TAFs+and+METARs
-
Yup. Between 1,000 - 1,800 ASL. Camp David ASOS is ~1,900 ASOS and Site R is ~900. Those two ASOS's are good for discerning minute warm/dry layers during events.
-
There's the money track. Give me that all day.
-
You gotta get a house in Sabillasville my friend.
-
highs are now trending warmer post storm...possibly low 40s MLK day and Tuesday. There doesn't seem to be some big post storm discharge of cold air.
-
Man, the things I'd do for a last minute trend east to keep everyone west of the bay as some form of frozen.
-
Wonder if we see this thing trend a bit weaker as we near and maybe not as wound up? Would mean a further east trend. It's happened before. I know @Ellinwood talks about satellite ingestion of data has improved D5+ scores, but a weenie can hope.
-
Euro seems to be the best case scenario right now. Low end warning snow/sleet then dry for I-95 immediate suburbs, big storm US 15 west. EDIT: Give it a 50 mile east shift and everybody wind bigly.
-
Pretty decent lift with the WAA snow and along the backside, I-81 and points west probably get slammed from this. If only we can get this like 50 - 60 miles east.
-
If we can get 6" - 10" with no rain, it'll be a win. Sleet/ZR, that's fine. Just don't want to wash the snow away.
-
I don't care if I mix, I just don't want to spike to rain and 50 degrees.
-
Yea that's terrible. Screaming SE winds will wash out any low level cold. Total disaster.
-
Randy should've known better than to start a thread for a D6 event in a La Nina year.
-
Welcome. 100% agree with you.
-
Down to 17 degrees with clear skies and no wind.
-
The position and strength of the Canadian high is much better on the op run of the 18z Euro than the GFS.
-
Really appreciate the insight here from you and the rest of the Mets. The discourse over the past several pages has been quite informative.
-
There are verification scores for each model going out to D6.
-
18z GEFS loses almost all of the inland lows. Really hope Crack. GFS and Euro runs are just too wound up and smoking crack.
-
I know this is kind of a weenie sentiment, but I'd like to give this another 24 hours before we kill this. Couple of things I'm looking for: 1.) Do we see this west trend continue? 2.) Would like to see what happens once we get this system onshore an into the North American upper air network. 3.) Hopefully we can get the antecedent high into a better position. We need it over Quebec, not New England, to lock in the cold and prevent the coastal from running inland.
