Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Sleet beats rain.
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February 2007. Upper Montgomery County into SE Frederick and Carroll had an event in 2018 where 0.3" to 0.4" happened...pulled a bunch of meters off houses and caused fires.
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00z NAM implies borderline ice storm for Catoctin Mt. back through HGR.
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NAM = goodbye power if you're a BGE customer.
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DCA is 4.9" below climo according to Ion.
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18z GFS gets DCA to full climo with this event.
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We do wind and rapid warm ups quite well in these parts.
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Good changes on the 12z NAM and it should have the storm in the RAOB network. At the worst, it's stopped the bleeding.
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Give me 4 to 6 inches of sleet on snow and we're gonna keep a snowpack for awhile.
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Get the 500 low centered over the NC lowlands and we're golden.
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Check out the winds at 850 mb...screaming from the SE. That will erode cold air no problem.
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06z EPS mean snowfall would bring DCA to near full climo for yearly snowfall.
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06z GEFS were nice. I'd buy in a heartbeat. Distinct east shift.
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Only 1 miss on the EPS, almost everything else is warning criteria snow/sleet I-95 west it seems.
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There are a ton of big hits from I-95 west on the 18z EPS.
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With respect to potential coastline impacts, not frozen precip. Should have clarified.
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18z GFS hammers coastal areas...would be some respectable impacts from that along Delmarva.
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18z Euro appears faster
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IMO, inside 72 to 84 hr their worth is diminished.
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He came to LWX from Elko.
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Confluence looks more robust and the antecedent high pressure looks better positioned.
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Good trends on the GFS so far.
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Ray still works for LWX. Solid forecaster. His site gets me through those hot winter rain storms.
