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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Incredible temperature swing in Baltimore County. 38 in Parkton, 46 in Towson, 57 in Baltimore City.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    The 18z GFS op is interesting for Southeast Pennsylvania and Northeast Maryland. At 00z Monday, there's a potent 500mb jet of at least 50kts extending from Cecil County down to Bermuda. Meanwhile at 850mb, there's a 50 - 75kt easterly jet from Cape Cod to Lancaster, PA. Someone is going to get drenched.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    It's a sign for winter!
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Where do I sign on the 18z GFS? Everyone wins.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    The entire winter was great. Everything was a jackpot.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    We now have enough mesonet stations online that terrain features are becoming visible. Tonight's low temperature map should be interesting to witness.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Bittinger dipped to 29 degrees last night. I wonder if we see more sub freezing temperatures tonight? There doesn't seem to be much wind, so we might decouple quick.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the Midwest short wave does not get over the CONUS upper air network until 12z tomorrow, 10/10. Wonder if we'll see things tighten up tomorrow morning?
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like we have the book ends for this event. GFS/hi-res scenario where it's a quick capture and more dynamic event down our way. Euro scenario where it's a late, disjointed phase and we get scraps.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Dr. No continues to say no.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Biggest run of the Euro this season coming up.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Seems like the 12z suite is hinting at the Midwest short wave coming in faster, and further southwest. This appears to enable a more complete capture of the coastal feature. Something to watch perhaps? I know @WxUSAF and I were discussing this at Lisbon the other day.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    I would honestly feel better if this midwest shortwave was dropping further west. We're really living on the edge here for the capture.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Yes it was a cool morning for sure!
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Yay?
  16. Eskimo Joe
    IMO, if we can make it inside HR90 and this thing has de-amplified, then this is legit. That's my go/no go threshold.
  17. Eskimo Joe

    Winter 2025-26

    Eskimo Joe replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    Neutrals are a complete dice roll. 2013-2015 were rather neutral, but things broke our way more times than not.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Remember, the Euro nailed Sandy. Therefore it's always right.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    @WxUSAF, @wxmeddler, and I did a thing today!
  20. Eskimo Joe
    I'm just very proud of that site. It's a beautiful location, and it seems to jackpot a lot.
  21. Eskimo Joe
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Hmm. I'll ping him.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Clear Spring mesonet site already M1.68" of rain.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Man if that primary would be diving into Kentucky instead of across Michigan this storm would probably dump a ton of rain.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Then the coastal just meanders south towards Florida. Wacky evolution.
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