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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like we get cold Thursday night, no?
  2. Eskimo Joe
    There's that northern crew spirit. I knew you had it in you.
  3. Eskimo Joe
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Ratios will be better on the NW side so we'll win.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Other spots worth eating at for Chincoteague: 1.) Lunch (summer): SeaStar Cafe 2.) Dinner, Easter through Christmas (reservations strongly recommended): Etta's Channel Side (great views).
  6. Eskimo Joe
    I'd take the 12z Euro for mby in a skinny minute. Lowlanders get snow with no temp issues it seems.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    My benchmark is 3" - 5" for this event in Reisterstown. If we get a solid advisory level event on the weekend, with cold air behind it, what's not to like?
  8. Eskimo Joe
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Go to Chincoteague and see the lighthouse and ponies in the snow. Stay at the Hampton Inn and have dinner at Bill's Prime (reservations recommended...strongly recommend the Pork Shank Osso Bucco).
  10. Eskimo Joe
  11. Eskimo Joe
    12z Euro would bring DCA to full climo for the year in mid January. Also, this:
  12. Eskimo Joe
  13. Eskimo Joe
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Yup, they are neato! Not for those who keep their expectations reasonable. Honestly, two observations from this winter: 1.) GFS clearly has been better than past performance, big win for NWS/NOAA NWP. 2.) GFS seems to have better verification the past few winters for northern stream events.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    These are called gravity waves, or cloud streets: https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/wmovl/vrl/tutorials/satmanu-eumetsat/satmanu/cms/ClStr/index.htm
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Yes.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Put a 1/2" flash freeze snow on all the roads. Let the chaos ensue. Then we feast on cold powder on Saturday.
  18. Eskimo Joe
  19. Eskimo Joe
    It was consistently too far east until we got within 24 hours, then it go in line with the OP.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    No
  21. Eskimo Joe
    The 12z Euro had a really nice pass at 500 with the main feature sliding by to the south of DC. That's exactly what you want to see for a solid, cold smoke snowstorm. Given the cold 850 temps and antecedent air mass, 10:1 or even 12:1 snow ratios would be possible. As @stormtrackersaid, this is what we want other models to trend towards. Would easily be the biggest snowfall in the past couple of winter and would put all 3 terminals at or above yearly snowfall.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Amazing how once we got cooperation from the Pacific our luck changed. Seems like we really need Pacific cooperation anymore to get food patterns to last.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    One thing this winter is that everything seems to jump NW last minute and the GFS op has lead the way. Really impressed with it's handling on NS systems, and how NOAA/NWS has been using more recon flights to get better data into NWP for better lead times.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Same
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Keep talkin' dirty.
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