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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Where do I sign for the 15z HRRR?
  2. Eskimo Joe
  3. Eskimo Joe
    IAD and DCA terminal doppler radar had a legit couplet.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    TOR canceled for Fairfax and Montgomery.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like maybe a 2nd couplet on IAD terminal near Loudoun/Montgomery/Frederick county border?
  6. Eskimo Joe
    TOR for Montgomery and Fairfax until 12:24 pm. Wonder if it was warned off one of the terminal dopplers?
  7. Eskimo Joe
    IAD just gusted to 36 kts. iadasos.org
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Experimental WISC CIMMS placefile on GR suggests decent wet miroburst, marginal tornado risk with the line.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Tornado Watch until 22:00 UTC. CC: @yoda
  10. Eskimo Joe
    SVR for DC metro.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Latest HRRR has a decent 2nd line coming through during prime heating. Currently visible satellite shows outright clearing behind this first batch so it's certainly possible.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Just hit 70 degrees at home. Airmass really has that soupy feel.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    The TOR warned cell in VA is about to enter a decent airmass for QLCS tornadoes:
  14. Eskimo Joe
    LWX issues Tornado Warning for Spotsylvania County.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Mesoscale Discussion #936: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2022/md0936.html
  16. Eskimo Joe
    More Bedford, VA images coming in.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Noteworthy uptick in CG on the TOR warned cell. I know there's some literature out there about the relationship between CG and sustained updrafts so maybe this one has legs?
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Cell near Strasburg, VA looks like it's trying to do something.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Definitely some okay breaks in the clouds south of US 50 in Maryland.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    TOR coming out for Goochland.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Latest SPC mesoanalysis has between 500 - 100 SBCAPE tongue ahead of the main line up from NOVA into Gettysburg. I know @Ian has posted in the past about how sneaky these ribbons of SBCAPE can in environments like this.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Nice SigTor parameters building in across NOVA and even a bit into Frederick County.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    I'm...somewhat more intrigued about our potential today. Over/under for LWX CWA: TORs issued: 5, 2 confirmed when it's over SVRs issued: 24 FFW issued: 6
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Decent clearing behind this first line. Would definitely help with any progged afternoon activity.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Taking a look at visible satellite, it's pretty clear the CHO storm is the main player with this first line. You can see it bubbling up compared to the low stratus clouds elsewhere.
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