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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Little squiggle just NE of Frederick in MD.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    I'll give credit to the HRRR, it was consistent with this 2nd line and did place a UHI track across S. MD for the past few runs.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    New TOR coming out. TVS just NW of Golden Beach.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    TOR being issued for PG/Calvert. WISC CIMMS probs jumped to 17% chance of TOR on that.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    We're still all shook at Bumpass
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Okay this is my fault. Cached version of website didn't update. See it now. Deleted my post.
  7. Eskimo Joe
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Cell near RNK spinning up pretty quickly.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    SPC mesoanalysis shows belt of 40-60kt shear from I-66 down to CHO coinciding with SBCAPE recovering. Wouldn't shock me if we get a lower end severe thunderstorm watch later today. I'm back up to 71 degrees again at home so we are recovering this airmass somewhat even up in Baltimore.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Brookneal, VA cell attm:
  11. Eskimo Joe
    We have a decent amount of shear and low level moisture so the wet microburst potential is still there.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    There ya go. Unlikely we ever see one of those around here.
  13. Eskimo Joe
  14. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC, the destructive tag is golf ball sized hail or 80 mph winds
  15. Eskimo Joe
    LWX starting to process LSRs and it seems like something may have touched down in Fairfax County, possibly Calvert County too.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Severe Thunderstorm Warnings do not trigger Wireless Emergency Alerts unless the SVR is tagged for 'Destructive': https://www.foxweather.com/extreme-weather/destructive-thunderstorm-alerts-what-they-are-and-why-the-nws-issues-them
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Unless SPC is seeing something that we aren't, I think we're primed for Round #2...perhaps even one that surpasses this morning's activity in some areas.
  18. Eskimo Joe
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Gimme dat
  20. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 23:00 UTC. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0278.html
  21. Eskimo Joe
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Cell in Savage, MD looks like it's really trying.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    New TOR, Moco, Hoco, PG.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    New TOR for Howard/Montgomery.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Temp up to 73.
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