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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Yea we're probably going to cook Tuesday. Looks like 06z and 12z GFS push +30° air at 925 overtop the entire region. 700 mb is pretty dry too, so it's possible we bake with few clouds.
  2. Wednesday potential seems focus on several moving parts (shocker). Probably won't know much until Wednesday AM.
  3. Check out the 925 temps. It's not just some random pulse of air. It's a legit heat dome.
  4. I'm still waiting for all the snow he promised last winter.
  5. Yea. . . What a colossal failure by all guidance. Just wow.
  6. Check out the southeast winds causing the precip along the leeside of the Appalachians. Neat!
  7. Radar along the I-64 corridor is slightly encouraging for everyone west of the bay.
  8. Naw bro. We're like 6 years into an epic snow drought and it's going to be another sucko winter from the looks of it. Not sure how much more people can take. Heck, we've had a practically nonexistent severe weather season thus far.
  9. Probably some subsidence, but the dewpoints have crept up from the Catoctin Mts. east, so it's possible the front may be drifting west. If so, this puts I-95 in the game for at least a few hours of rain overnight.
  10. If this were a snowstorm, this board would be insufferable.
  11. You can tell even the sandy soil of the eastern shore is pancaked. The Ridgely mesonet site recorded over half an inch of rain in under 30 minutes, but the soil moisture values are just flat. It's going to take some time for moisture uptake to occur it seems.
  12. It's raining in New Windsor and I can see clear skies to my west. Hah!
  13. Surprised we got one down there even. The soil moisture values on the mesonet sites on Delmarva and southern Maryland are parched.
  14. Don't sleep on anything next week. Ridge is more favorable for MCS and we have a better chance at EML advection.
  15. 950 and 850 temps next week support us flirting with 100 degrees regionwide. Legit heat incoming.
  16. Downsloping off the mountains usually. That plus we seemed to have a weak inversion aloft that was decapitating the updrafts last night.
  17. I'd say the odds are pretty good.
  18. DCA has to maintain 81° until 1:00 am 7/11 to have a new record warm low temp.
  19. Wow both lines went kaput. . .
  20. Cirrus from that line is all the way up in Reisterstown. Looks like maybe the northern crews storms are firing to our west finally?
  21. Hope the radar improves soon because man the current stuff is not reassuring.
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