Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Eskimo Joe replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seems like the 12z suite is hinting at the Midwest short wave coming in faster, and further southwest. This appears to enable a more complete capture of the coastal feature. Something to watch perhaps? I know @WxUSAF and I were discussing this at Lisbon the other day. -
I would honestly feel better if this midwest shortwave was dropping further west. We're really living on the edge here for the capture.
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Yes it was a cool morning for sure!
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Yay?
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IMO, if we can make it inside HR90 and this thing has de-amplified, then this is legit. That's my go/no go threshold.
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Neutrals are a complete dice roll. 2013-2015 were rather neutral, but things broke our way more times than not.
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Remember, the Euro nailed Sandy. Therefore it's always right.
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@WxUSAF, @wxmeddler, and I did a thing today!
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I'm just very proud of that site. It's a beautiful location, and it seems to jackpot a lot.
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Hmm. I'll ping him.
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Clear Spring mesonet site already M1.68" of rain.
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Man if that primary would be diving into Kentucky instead of across Michigan this storm would probably dump a ton of rain.
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Then the coastal just meanders south towards Florida. Wacky evolution.
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12z ICON bring a soaking 1.5" - 2.5" of rainfall to just about the entire subforum starting late in the weekend.
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Overnight op GFS tries to tank the NAO towards the 20th - 22nd of October. If this were winter. . . . .
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Wait until you're inside 60 hours anymore. We've seen so many HR 60 - 100 rug pulls, especially in the winter, these past few years.
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Ugh, Euro ENS already pushing the mix line to I-70.
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Wow that's a legit soaker.
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The 850 jet on the Euro is really intruguing. That would just stream moisture off the Atlantic into us.
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For the uninitiated like me, that means we do not want a -NAO in October, correct?
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Just need the rain out quick Wednesday AM in western Howard County. Looks good so far on the guidance.
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Would be a drought busting event. Bring it on.
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From your mouth to the ear of the weather gods.
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Would you be considered at the zonal flow into western Canada? Would argue that's a Pacific puke setup to our north.
